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MegaStudyEdu Co. Ltd (215200.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$337,320.54 - $879,520.37$824,239.40
Multi-Stage$125,399.53 - $137,250.97$131,216.41
Blended Fair Value$477,727.90
Current Price$45,500.00
Upside949.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.85%0.00%2,171.862,280.992,172.37813.501,181.88915.71278.30214.08256.890.00
YoY Growth---4.78%5.00%167.04%-31.17%29.07%229.04%30.00%-16.67%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.37%4.12%3.73%0.79%2.00%2.45%0.68%1.10%2.90%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,968.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,693.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,274.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,593.685,996.053,597.63
Cash Retained (M)31,274.9731,274.9731,274.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,593.68-5,996.05-3,597.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,681.2925,278.9227,677.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.8510.8510.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,998.922,330.612,551.73
LTM Dividend per Share1,539.061,539.061,539.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,998.922,330.612,551.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,537.983,869.674,090.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$337,320.54$824,239.40$879,520.37
Upside / Downside641.36%1,711.52%1,833.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,968.4151,086.3654,406.9757,943.4261,709.7565,720.8867,692.51
Payout Ratio34.80%45.84%56.88%67.92%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,693.4423,418.3630,946.9839,355.3848,726.1359,148.7962,615.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21,760.8321,967.0922,173.36
Year 2 PV (M)26,721.2227,230.1927,743.95
Year 3 PV (M)31,576.3032,482.7433,406.37
Year 4 PV (M)36,327.7137,724.7739,161.74
Year 5 PV (M)40,977.0842,956.2945,011.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,202,782.831,260,877.701,321,195.98
Equity Value (M)1,360,145.971,423,238.771,488,692.64
Shares Outstanding (M)10.8510.8510.85
Fair Value$125,399.53$131,216.41$137,250.97
Upside / Downside175.60%188.39%201.65%

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