Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $4.99 - $7.61 | $6.22 |
| Multi-Stage | $10.48 - $11.53 | $10.99 |
| Blended Fair Value | $8.61 | |
| Current Price | $2.73 | |
| Upside | 215.21% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -29.80% | 19.87% | 236.42% | -84.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 21.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.15% | 2.33% | 1.84% | 0.37% | 2.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 184.45 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 55.15 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 129.30 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 36.89 | 23.06 | 13.83 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 129.30 | 129.30 | 129.30 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -36.89 | -23.06 | -13.83 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 92.41 | 106.24 | 115.46 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 328.24 | 328.24 | 328.24 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.83% | 6.83% | 6.83% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $4.99 | $6.22 | $7.61 |
| Upside / Downside | 82.75% | 127.71% | 178.75% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 184.45 | 182.61 | 180.78 | 178.98 | 177.19 | 175.41 | 180.68 |
| Payout Ratio | 29.90% | 41.92% | 53.94% | 65.96% | 77.98% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 55.15 | 76.55 | 97.52 | 118.05 | 138.17 | 157.87 | 167.13 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.83% | 6.83% | 6.83% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 70.93 | 71.66 | 72.38 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 83.73 | 85.44 | 87.18 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 93.92 | 96.83 | 99.79 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 101.86 | 106.08 | 110.43 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 107.84 | 113.46 | 119.30 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 2,980.05 | 3,135.23 | 3,296.81 |
| Equity Value (M) | 3,438.33 | 3,608.69 | 3,785.89 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 328.24 | 328.24 | 328.24 |
| Fair Value | $10.48 | $10.99 | $11.53 |
| Upside / Downside | 283.71% | 302.72% | 322.49% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |