Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hikari Food Service Co Ltd (138A.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,083.85 - $1,626.12$1,340.75
Multi-Stage$2,109.64 - $2,321.30$2,213.40
Blended Fair Value$1,777.07
Current Price$2,386.00
Upside-25.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)128.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.6816.059.63
Cash Retained (M)88.7988.7988.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.68-16.05-9.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.1172.7479.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.990.990.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share63.6273.3379.80
LTM Dividend per Share39.9339.9339.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share63.6273.3379.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend103.55113.26119.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,083.85$1,340.75$1,626.12
Upside / Downside-54.57%-43.81%-31.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)128.41127.12125.85124.59123.35122.11125.78
Payout Ratio30.85%42.68%54.51%66.34%78.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.6154.2568.6082.6596.42109.90116.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)50.0250.5351.04
Year 2 PV (M)58.3259.5160.72
Year 3 PV (M)64.7866.7968.83
Year 4 PV (M)69.6872.5775.54
Year 5 PV (M)73.2377.0481.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,776.731,869.241,965.58
Equity Value (M)2,092.762,195.692,302.73
Shares Outstanding (M)0.990.990.99
Fair Value$2,109.64$2,213.40$2,321.30
Upside / Downside-11.58%-7.23%-2.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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