Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Scatec ASA (0R3I.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$202.25 - $1,113.90$390.27
Multi-Stage$114.91 - $125.72$120.22
Blended Fair Value$255.25
Current Price$98.25
Upside159.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.61%25.05%2.492.702.541.090.820.680.510.460.390.16
YoY Growth---7.93%6.19%133.53%32.06%21.30%33.33%10.96%17.90%144.44%-40.02%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.74%3.66%0.81%0.32%0.51%0.59%1.02%1.02%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)890.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)173.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)716.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)178.00111.2566.75
Cash Retained (M)716.80716.80716.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-178.00-111.25-66.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)538.80605.55650.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)158.90158.90158.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.393.814.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.091.091.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.393.814.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.484.905.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$202.25$390.27$1,113.90
Upside / Downside105.85%297.23%1,033.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)890.00947.851,009.461,075.081,144.961,219.381,255.96
Payout Ratio19.46%33.57%47.68%61.78%75.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)173.20318.18481.27664.23868.931,097.441,161.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)292.28295.05297.82
Year 2 PV (M)406.12413.86421.67
Year 3 PV (M)514.89529.67544.73
Year 4 PV (M)618.76642.55667.03
Year 5 PV (M)717.87752.55788.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,709.9616,468.7517,256.59
Equity Value (M)18,259.8819,102.4319,976.39
Shares Outstanding (M)158.90158.90158.90
Fair Value$114.91$120.22$125.72
Upside / Downside16.96%22.36%27.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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