Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,230.72 - $3,790.34 | $3,552.10 |
| Multi-Stage | $511.35 - $559.52 | $534.99 |
| Blended Fair Value | $2,043.55 | |
| Current Price | $85.50 | |
| Upside | 2,290.11% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 19.82% | 0.00% | 3.70 | 2.75 | 5.48 | 2.75 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 34.55% | -49.82% | 99.07% | 24.57% | 47.51% | 15.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.18% | 2.62% | 7.04% | 1.14% | 1.92% | 1.82% | 2.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 520.14 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 191.04 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 329.10 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 104.03 | 65.02 | 39.01 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 329.10 | 329.10 | 329.10 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -104.03 | -65.02 | -39.01 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 225.07 | 264.08 | 290.09 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.29 | 27.29 | 27.29 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 8.25 | 9.68 | 10.63 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 7.00 | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 8.25 | 9.68 | 10.63 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 15.25 | 16.68 | 17.63 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.81% | 6.81% | 6.81% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,230.72 | $3,552.10 | $3,790.34 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,339.44% | 4,054.50% | 4,333.14% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 520.14 | 553.95 | 589.96 | 628.31 | 669.15 | 712.64 | 734.02 |
| Payout Ratio | 36.73% | 47.38% | 58.04% | 68.69% | 79.35% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 191.04 | 262.48 | 342.40 | 431.59 | 530.94 | 641.38 | 678.97 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.81% | 6.81% | 6.81% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 243.44 | 245.75 | 248.06 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 294.53 | 300.14 | 305.81 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 344.34 | 354.22 | 364.29 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 392.88 | 407.99 | 423.53 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 440.18 | 461.44 | 483.51 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 12,239.94 | 12,831.14 | 13,444.96 |
| Equity Value (M) | 13,955.31 | 14,600.68 | 15,270.15 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.29 | 27.29 | 27.29 |
| Fair Value | $511.35 | $534.99 | $559.52 |
| Upside / Downside | 498.07% | 525.72% | 554.41% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |