Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pan Ocean Co., Ltd. (028670.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45,879.15 - $108,912.93$102,067.36
Multi-Stage$15,849.11 - $17,356.48$16,588.92
Blended Fair Value$59,328.14
Current Price$3,715.00
Upside1,496.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%35.31%84.97149.9599.9751.520.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.33%50.00%94.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.52%3.62%1.72%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)292,829.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,139.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)228,690.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58,565.8036,603.6321,962.18
Cash Retained (M)228,690.00228,690.00228,690.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-58,565.80-36,603.63-21,962.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)170,124.20192,086.38206,727.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)534.71534.71534.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share318.16359.24386.62
LTM Dividend per Share119.95119.95119.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share318.16359.24386.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend438.12479.19506.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45,879.15$102,067.36$108,912.93
Upside / Downside1,134.97%2,647.44%2,831.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)292,829.00311,862.89332,133.97353,722.68376,714.65401,201.11413,237.14
Payout Ratio21.90%35.52%49.14%62.76%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,139.00110,781.75163,217.06222,000.92287,737.08361,081.00382,244.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)103,036.49104,013.14104,989.79
Year 2 PV (M)141,192.37143,881.69146,596.38
Year 3 PV (M)178,617.20183,744.66188,969.32
Year 4 PV (M)215,321.40223,602.05232,119.28
Year 5 PV (M)251,315.24263,453.86276,057.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,585,128.837,951,493.388,331,879.58
Equity Value (M)8,474,611.538,870,188.799,280,611.39
Shares Outstanding (M)534.71534.71534.71
Fair Value$15,849.11$16,588.92$17,356.48
Upside / Downside326.62%346.54%367.20%

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