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Definitive Analysis

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DongWon Development Co.,Ltd. (013120.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$567.50 - $797.96$681.92
Multi-Stage$1,725.11 - $1,902.27$1,811.89
Blended Fair Value$1,246.91
Current Price$2,690.00
Upside-53.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.44%0.00%80.47160.95150.89186.10171.01186.10149.28111.6680.1750.84
YoY Growth---50.00%6.67%-18.92%8.82%-8.11%24.66%33.69%39.27%57.69%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.67%5.91%4.55%3.44%3.17%5.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,518.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,264.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,253.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,703.661,064.79638.87
Cash Retained (M)1,253.661,253.661,253.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,703.66-1,064.79-638.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)-450.00188.87614.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.2790.2790.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.982.096.81
LTM Dividend per Share80.4780.4780.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.982.096.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend75.4982.5787.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-6.13%-5.13%-4.13%
Fair Value$567.50$681.92$797.96
Upside / Downside-78.90%-74.65%-70.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,518.308,081.107,666.337,272.856,899.576,545.456,741.81
Payout Ratio85.28%86.23%87.17%88.11%89.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,264.656,968.036,682.726,408.346,144.525,890.906,236.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-6.13%-5.13%-4.13%
Year 1 PV (M)6,482.676,551.736,620.80
Year 2 PV (M)5,784.175,908.076,033.28
Year 3 PV (M)5,160.345,327.025,497.26
Year 4 PV (M)4,603.254,802.575,008.29
Year 5 PV (M)4,105.854,329.264,562.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)129,593.44136,645.09144,000.43
Equity Value (M)155,729.72163,563.75171,722.35
Shares Outstanding (M)90.2790.2790.27
Fair Value$1,725.11$1,811.89$1,902.27
Upside / Downside-35.87%-32.64%-29.28%

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