Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd (009900.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$277,943.52 - $327,464.56$306,882.25
Multi-Stage$232,684.00 - $255,427.16$243,842.97
Blended Fair Value$275,362.61
Current Price$8,200.00
Upside3,258.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%31.86%99.890.000.000.000.000.006.2912.586.2912.58
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%100.00%-50.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)86,489.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,870.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)78,619.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,297.9510,811.226,486.73
Cash Retained (M)78,619.2378,619.2378,619.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,297.95-10,811.22-6,486.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)61,321.2867,808.0172,132.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.5352.5352.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,167.431,290.921,373.25
LTM Dividend per Share149.84149.84149.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,167.431,290.921,373.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,317.271,440.761,523.09
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$277,943.52$306,882.25$327,464.56
Upside / Downside3,289.56%3,642.47%3,893.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)86,489.7592,111.5898,098.84104,475.26111,266.15118,498.45122,053.41
Payout Ratio9.10%25.28%41.46%57.64%73.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,870.5223,285.7740,671.7560,219.5282,136.66106,648.61112,899.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23,530.9223,753.9723,977.01
Year 2 PV (M)41,532.6542,323.7343,122.27
Year 3 PV (M)62,141.6163,925.4765,743.15
Year 4 PV (M)85,650.6588,944.5492,332.52
Year 5 PV (M)112,382.12117,810.22123,446.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,896,896.2312,471,520.7613,068,137.53
Equity Value (M)12,222,134.1812,808,278.6913,416,758.55
Shares Outstanding (M)52.5352.5352.53
Fair Value$232,684.00$243,842.97$255,427.16
Upside / Downside2,737.61%2,873.69%3,014.97%

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