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Definitive Analysis

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Mirae Asset Securities Co. Ltd. (006800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$232,947.31 - $408,589.71$382,844.19
Multi-Stage$147,550.81 - $162,169.02$154,721.18
Blended Fair Value$268,782.69
Current Price$21,450.00
Upside1,153.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.20%0.00%154.04211.54324.90227.72315.84263.77213.7044.46258.497.08
YoY Growth---27.18%-34.89%42.68%-27.90%19.74%23.43%380.68%-82.80%3,549.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.65%5.03%2.66%3.20%5.01%2.85%0.48%2.86%0.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,220,193.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148,678.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,071,514.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)244,038.68152,524.1891,514.51
Cash Retained (M)1,071,514.421,071,514.421,071,514.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-244,038.68-152,524.18-91,514.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)827,475.74918,990.25979,999.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)583.49583.49583.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,418.151,574.991,679.55
LTM Dividend per Share254.81254.81254.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,418.151,574.991,679.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,672.961,829.791,934.35
WACC / Discount Rate4.36%4.36%4.36%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Fair Value$232,947.31$382,844.19$408,589.71
Upside / Downside986.00%1,684.82%1,804.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,220,193.421,276,492.781,335,389.781,397,004.281,461,461.641,528,893.051,574,759.85
Payout Ratio12.18%27.75%43.31%58.87%74.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148,678.99354,199.90578,369.63822,471.581,087,867.831,376,003.751,456,652.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.36%4.36%4.36%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Year 1 PV (M)336,163.78339,408.17342,652.56
Year 2 PV (M)520,967.30531,071.76541,273.26
Year 3 PV (M)703,118.26723,673.19744,624.87
Year 4 PV (M)882,645.07917,215.91952,792.47
Year 5 PV (M)1,059,575.921,111,703.381,165,862.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)82,592,137.1786,655,383.9190,876,998.13
Equity Value (M)86,094,607.5190,278,456.3194,624,203.83
Shares Outstanding (M)583.49583.49583.49
Fair Value$147,550.81$154,721.18$162,169.02
Upside / Downside587.88%621.31%656.03%

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