Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HANSHIN Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd. (004960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,023.09 - $11,537.42$9,739.25
Multi-Stage$16,613.28 - $18,329.44$17,454.18
Blended Fair Value$13,596.72
Current Price$7,710.00
Upside76.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.23%2.11%100.07300.19350.22400.24350.22375.23353.35219.810.000.00
YoY Growth---66.66%-14.29%-12.50%14.29%-6.67%6.19%60.76%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.73%4.43%4.65%2.09%1.74%3.46%1.86%1.09%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,439.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,157.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,282.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,687.981,679.991,007.99
Cash Retained (M)12,282.3612,282.3612,282.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,687.98-1,679.99-1,007.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,594.3710,602.3711,274.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5711.5711.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share829.44916.58974.68
LTM Dividend per Share100.07100.07100.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share829.44916.58974.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend929.511,016.661,074.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate-3.69%-2.69%-1.69%
Fair Value$8,023.09$9,739.25$11,537.42
Upside / Downside4.06%26.32%49.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,439.9113,077.9612,725.7712,383.0612,049.5811,725.0812,076.83
Payout Ratio8.61%24.89%41.17%57.45%73.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,157.553,255.145,238.907,113.468,883.2610,552.5711,171.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate-3.69%-2.69%-1.69%
Year 1 PV (M)2,997.903,029.033,060.16
Year 2 PV (M)4,443.624,536.384,630.10
Year 3 PV (M)5,556.825,731.725,910.25
Year 4 PV (M)6,390.956,660.566,938.60
Year 5 PV (M)6,991.987,362.607,748.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)165,788.69174,576.61183,733.29
Equity Value (M)192,169.96201,896.90212,021.18
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5711.5711.57
Fair Value$16,613.28$17,454.18$18,329.44
Upside / Downside115.48%126.38%137.74%

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