Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yuan Cheng Cable Co.,Ltd. (002692.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.92 - $1.43$1.15
Multi-Stage$1.81 - $1.99$1.90
Blended Fair Value$1.52
Current Price$5.30
Upside-71.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.25%-7.60%0.050.060.040.040.080.070.090.100.140.11
YoY Growth---8.96%36.45%-1.32%-41.09%0.27%-13.00%-13.72%-28.32%21.62%-4.23%
Dividend Yield--0.91%1.48%1.16%1.20%2.63%2.04%1.78%1.10%1.36%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.648.535.12
Cash Retained (M)44.8144.8144.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.64-8.53-5.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.1636.2839.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)718.63718.63718.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-1.28%-0.28%0.72%
Fair Value$0.92$1.15$1.43
Upside / Downside-82.71%-78.23%-73.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.2268.0367.8467.6467.4567.2669.28
Payout Ratio34.32%45.46%56.59%67.73%78.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.4230.9238.3945.8253.2060.5464.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-1.28%-0.28%0.72%
Year 1 PV (M)28.6428.9329.22
Year 2 PV (M)32.9333.6034.27
Year 3 PV (M)36.3937.5138.65
Year 4 PV (M)39.1340.7442.40
Year 5 PV (M)41.2443.3745.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,119.961,177.851,238.10
Equity Value (M)1,298.281,361.991,428.23
Shares Outstanding (M)718.63718.63718.63
Fair Value$1.81$1.90$1.99
Upside / Downside-65.91%-64.24%-62.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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