Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Suofeiya Home Collection Co., Ltd. (002572.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105.10 - $233.90$219.20
Multi-Stage$36.23 - $39.59$37.88
Blended Fair Value$128.54
Current Price$12.68
Upside913.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.75%24.70%1.030.660.570.640.550.520.470.360.240.16
YoY Growth--55.44%16.67%-11.68%15.74%7.35%9.06%32.34%48.38%49.23%43.00%
Dividend Yield--6.36%4.13%2.90%3.33%1.68%2.87%1.76%1.04%0.70%0.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,130.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)998.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)132.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)226.17141.3684.82
Cash Retained (M)132.41132.41132.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-226.17-141.36-84.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-93.76-8.9547.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)961.52961.52961.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.010.05
LTM Dividend per Share1.041.041.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.010.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.941.031.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$105.10$219.20$233.90
Upside / Downside728.84%1,628.72%1,744.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,130.871,204.381,282.661,366.041,454.831,549.391,595.88
Payout Ratio88.29%88.63%88.97%89.32%89.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)998.461,067.481,141.251,220.101,304.381,394.461,476.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)993.431,002.851,012.27
Year 2 PV (M)988.421,007.241,026.25
Year 3 PV (M)983.411,011.641,040.40
Year 4 PV (M)978.411,016.041,054.74
Year 5 PV (M)973.421,020.441,069.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,916.4731,361.4532,861.73
Equity Value (M)34,833.5736,419.6638,064.64
Shares Outstanding (M)961.52961.52961.52
Fair Value$36.23$37.88$39.59
Upside / Downside185.71%198.72%212.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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