Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ZYNP Corporation (002448.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.50 - $100.73$94.40
Multi-Stage$69.45 - $76.22$72.77
Blended Fair Value$83.59
Current Price$11.09
Upside653.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.19%8.44%0.180.110.100.100.080.100.100.100.100.08
YoY Growth--63.44%10.00%0.00%24.11%-20.35%-1.91%3.18%0.00%25.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.20%1.67%1.78%1.62%1.51%2.01%1.58%1.09%0.88%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)296.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)201.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.3737.1122.26
Cash Retained (M)201.68201.68201.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.37-37.11-22.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.31164.57179.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)586.06586.06586.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate-1.30%-1.30%-1.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$85.50$94.40$100.73
Upside / Downside670.97%751.24%808.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)296.85316.14336.69358.58381.89406.71418.91
Payout Ratio32.06%43.65%55.24%66.82%78.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95.17137.99185.98239.62299.45366.04387.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.30%-1.30%-1.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)138.49139.81141.12
Year 2 PV (M)187.33190.89194.50
Year 3 PV (M)242.23249.18256.27
Year 4 PV (M)303.80315.49327.51
Year 5 PV (M)372.71390.71409.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,455.6441,361.3643,340.02
Equity Value (M)40,700.2142,647.4544,668.82
Shares Outstanding (M)586.06586.06586.06
Fair Value$69.45$72.77$76.22
Upside / Downside526.22%556.18%587.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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