Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $26.35 - $42.24 | $33.54 |
| Multi-Stage | $56.74 - $62.44 | $59.54 |
| Blended Fair Value | $46.54 | |
| Current Price | $13.66 | |
| Upside | 240.70% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 1.46% | 0.77% | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.81 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.36% | -22.18% | 34.99% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.37% | -1.18% | 1.29% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.22% | 8.08% | 6.00% | 5.04% | 5.60% | 4.15% | 4.01% | 2.78% | 2.95% | 3.20% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,439.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,457.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,982.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 687.80 | 429.88 | 257.93 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,982.00 | 1,982.00 | 1,982.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -687.80 | -429.88 | -257.93 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,294.20 | 1,552.13 | 1,724.08 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,361.62 | 1,361.62 | 1,361.62 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.95 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.95 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.02 | 2.21 | 2.34 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.35% | 6.35% | 6.35% |
| Growth Rate | -1.23% | -0.23% | 0.77% |
| Fair Value | $26.35 | $33.54 | $42.24 |
| Upside / Downside | 92.92% | 145.56% | 209.24% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,439.00 | 3,431.26 | 3,423.54 | 3,415.84 | 3,408.15 | 3,400.48 | 3,502.50 |
| Payout Ratio | 42.37% | 51.89% | 61.42% | 70.95% | 80.47% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,457.00 | 1,780.60 | 2,102.75 | 2,423.43 | 2,742.66 | 3,060.43 | 3,239.81 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.35% | 6.35% | 6.35% |
| Growth Rate | -1.23% | -0.23% | 0.77% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,657.53 | 1,674.31 | 1,691.09 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,822.11 | 1,859.19 | 1,896.65 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,954.84 | 2,014.82 | 2,076.01 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,059.43 | 2,144.11 | 2,231.36 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,139.21 | 2,249.71 | 2,364.73 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 67,630.72 | 71,124.21 | 74,760.61 |
| Equity Value (M) | 77,263.84 | 81,066.35 | 85,020.46 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,361.62 | 1,361.62 | 1,361.62 |
| Fair Value | $56.74 | $59.54 | $62.44 |
| Upside / Downside | 315.40% | 335.85% | 357.11% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |