Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

HBIS Resources Co., Ltd. (000923.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.34 - $87.52$39.21
Multi-Stage$15.29 - $16.69$15.98
Blended Fair Value$27.59
Current Price$17.91
Upside54.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS126.79%35.14%0.600.300.300.110.260.011.160.110.140.02
YoY Growth--100.00%0.08%176.37%-57.83%2,471.89%-99.14%999.97%-25.28%505.16%-21.21%
Dividend Yield--3.81%1.78%2.06%0.75%1.11%0.08%6.59%0.47%0.56%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)526.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)326.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.2565.7839.47
Cash Retained (M)199.88199.88199.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.25-65.78-39.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.63134.10160.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)652.72652.72652.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.210.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.210.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.34$39.21$87.52
Upside / Downside30.29%118.94%388.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)526.24560.45596.88635.67676.99721.00742.63
Payout Ratio62.02%67.61%73.21%78.81%84.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)326.36378.94436.98500.96571.41648.90686.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)346.24349.53352.81
Year 2 PV (M)364.82371.77378.78
Year 3 PV (M)382.14393.11404.29
Year 4 PV (M)398.27413.59429.34
Year 5 PV (M)413.26433.22453.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,077.508,467.648,872.72
Equity Value (M)9,982.2410,428.8610,891.89
Shares Outstanding (M)652.72652.72652.72
Fair Value$15.29$15.98$16.69
Upside / Downside-14.61%-10.79%-6.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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