Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xiamen Port Development Co., Ltd. (000905.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.70 - $18.46$10.36
Multi-Stage$4.82 - $5.26$5.04
Blended Fair Value$7.70
Current Price$8.20
Upside-6.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS107.79%1.88%0.280.160.220.020.160.010.180.100.070.14
YoY Growth--71.60%-27.11%1,360.88%-90.64%2,164.90%-95.99%80.37%38.87%-47.82%-40.66%
Dividend Yield--3.67%2.49%3.07%0.20%2.27%0.12%1.92%1.01%0.52%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)205.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)164.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.1225.7015.42
Cash Retained (M)41.4241.4241.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.12-25.70-15.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.3015.7226.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)741.60741.60741.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.70$10.36$18.46
Upside / Downside-18.32%26.35%125.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)205.61218.97233.21248.37264.51281.70290.15
Payout Ratio79.86%81.88%83.91%85.94%87.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)164.19179.31195.69213.45232.69253.53268.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)162.97164.51166.05
Year 2 PV (M)161.65164.73167.84
Year 3 PV (M)160.25164.85169.54
Year 4 PV (M)158.78164.88171.16
Year 5 PV (M)157.23164.83172.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,777.012,911.143,050.40
Equity Value (M)3,577.883,734.943,897.71
Shares Outstanding (M)741.60741.60741.60
Fair Value$4.82$5.04$5.26
Upside / Downside-41.16%-38.58%-35.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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