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Eversource Energy (ES)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.43 - $226.61$130.63
Multi-Stage$62.26 - $67.82$64.99
Blended Fair Value$97.81
Current Price$71.14
Upside37.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.59%7.74%2.712.492.332.182.021.801.741.631.531.44
YoY Growth--8.98%6.86%6.78%8.16%12.28%3.61%6.32%6.66%6.55%11.48%
Dividend Yield--4.37%4.23%2.98%2.48%2.33%2.30%2.45%2.77%2.60%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,343.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,072.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)270.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)268.72167.95100.77
Cash Retained (M)270.89270.89270.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-268.72-167.95-100.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.17102.94170.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)368.94368.94368.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.280.46
LTM Dividend per Share2.912.912.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.280.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.913.193.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$85.43$130.63$226.61
Upside / Downside20.08%83.62%218.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,343.591,430.921,523.931,622.981,728.481,840.831,896.05
Payout Ratio79.84%81.87%83.90%85.94%87.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,072.701,171.501,278.621,394.721,520.501,656.751,753.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,063.721,073.811,083.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,054.181,074.261,094.53
Year 3 PV (M)1,044.101,074.081,104.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,033.551,073.301,114.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,022.551,071.941,123.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,751.5018,608.9019,499.12
Equity Value (M)22,969.6123,976.2825,019.56
Shares Outstanding (M)368.94368.94368.94
Fair Value$62.26$64.99$67.82
Upside / Downside-12.48%-8.65%-4.67%

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