Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Arch Resources, Inc. (ARCH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$227.27 - $602.88$347.52
Multi-Stage$160.38 - $174.96$167.54
Blended Fair Value$257.53
Current Price$138.16
Upside86.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS45.82%23.25%11.1324.640.210.451.631.691.320.000.000.11
YoY Growth---54.84%11,816.24%-53.55%-72.72%-3.35%28.31%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-91.67%
Dividend Yield--6.98%18.74%0.15%1.07%5.65%1.84%1.43%0.00%0.00%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)91.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.8922.4313.46
Cash Retained (M)88.1788.1788.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.89-22.43-13.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2865.7474.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
LTM Dividend per Share4.934.934.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.758.488.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$227.27$347.52$602.88
Upside / Downside64.50%151.53%336.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.45191.12203.54216.77230.86245.86253.24
Payout Ratio50.87%58.69%66.52%74.35%82.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)91.28112.17135.39161.16189.70221.28234.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)101.85102.82103.78
Year 2 PV (M)111.63113.75115.90
Year 3 PV (M)120.65124.11127.64
Year 4 PV (M)128.95133.91139.01
Year 5 PV (M)136.57143.17150.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,370.912,485.432,604.33
Equity Value (M)2,970.563,103.193,240.67
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
Fair Value$160.38$167.54$174.96
Upside / Downside16.08%21.27%26.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 30 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
DIB.AEDubai Islamic Bank P.J.S.C.4.96%$0.4741.66%
002701.SZORG Technology Co.,Ltd.4.95%$0.2968.18%
3702.TWWPG Holdings Limited4.95%$2.9381.01%
5353.TWOTailyn Technologies, Inc.4.95%$1.2992.09%
8966.THeiwa Real Estate REIT, Inc.4.95%$7,784.9462.25%
BOBA.JKPT Formosa Ingredient Factory Tbk4.95%$9.0050.69%
EPG-R.BKEastern Polymer Group Public Company Limited4.95%$0.1439.44%
MMP-UN.TOPrecious Metals and Mining Trust4.95%$0.1937.80%
VFQS.QAVodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C.4.95%$0.1280.20%
WJX.TOWajax Corporation4.95%$1.3765.74%
0RI3.LPareto Bank ASA4.94%$4.4950.07%
3226.TMitsui Fudosan Accommodations Fund Inc.4.94%$6,633.1172.65%
600987.SSZhejiang Hangmin Co.,Ltd4.94%$0.3447.75%
6596.TWOKuang Hong Arts Management Incorporation4.94%$6.9937.90%
ALLUX.PAInstallux S.A.4.94%$15.3129.71%
5110.SRSaudi Electricity Company4.93%$0.7051.64%
HYPE3.SAHypera S.A.4.93%$1.1588.85%
0966.HKChina Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited4.92%$0.9521.78%
5213.TWOYeaShin International Development Co., Ltd.4.92%$1.1837.56%
600295.SSInner Mongolia Erdos Resources Co.,ltd.4.92%$0.6192.93%
6192.TWLumax International Corp., Ltd.4.92%$5.4852.55%
E3G1.SGEvolution AB (publ)4.92%$2.8450.73%
XO.BKExotic Food Public Company Limited4.92%$0.7257.45%
059090.KQMiCo Ltd.4.91%$674.3669.83%
0662.HKAsia Financial Holdings Limited4.91%$0.2419.50%
4928.TNoevir Holdings Co., Ltd.4.91%$224.9495.68%
600970.SSSinoma International Engineering Co.Ltd4.91%$0.5144.22%
601319.SSThe People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited4.91%$0.4442.28%
EVLI.HEEvli Oyj4.91%$1.1492.58%
MRXMarex Group plc Ordinary Shares4.91%$1.8638.69%
SPMA.JKPT Suparma Tbk4.91%$11.9734.68%
TABREED.AENational Central Cooling Company PJSC4.91%$0.1677.99%
081660.KSMisto Holdings Corp.4.90%$2,010.6262.73%
300770.SZGuangdong South New Media Co.,Ltd.4.90%$2.0863.80%
7944.TRoland Corporation4.90%$174.9564.69%
IGTInternational Game Technology PLC4.90%$0.8083.51%
SYDB.COSydbank A/S4.90%$27.5761.30%
7246.KLSignature International Berhad4.89%$0.0748.72%
9917.TWTaiwan Secom Co., Ltd.4.89%$5.2880.23%
QBE.AXQBE Insurance Group Limited4.89%$0.9739.27%
TRIS3.SATrisul S.A.4.89%$0.3025.32%
000877.SZTianshan Material Co., Ltd.4.88%$0.2693.74%
0236.HKSan Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited4.88%$0.0633.49%
4007.SRAl Hammadi Holding Company4.88%$1.3884.27%
600901.SSJiangsu Financial Leasing Co., Ltd.4.88%$0.3054.72%
601098.SSChina South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd4.88%$0.5562.37%
SPIE.PASPIE S.a.4.88%$2.4095.87%
TOTO.JKPT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk4.88%$13.1736.11%
002035.SZVatti Corporation Limited4.87%$0.3057.45%
002807.SZJiangsu Jiangyin Rural Commercial Bank Co.,LTD.4.87%$0.2225.03%