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PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,019.32 - $4,283.17$2,867.05
Multi-Stage$2,911.93 - $3,192.91$3,049.77
Blended Fair Value$2,958.41
Current Price$845.00
Upside250.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%1.34%40.00100.0025.0010.0010.0040.0050.0045.0040.0030.00
YoY Growth---60.00%300.00%150.00%0.00%-75.00%-20.00%11.11%12.50%33.33%-14.29%
Dividend Yield--7.02%20.83%7.86%3.42%2.98%12.90%8.13%6.38%4.94%4.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)380,340.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)255,750.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)124,590.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76,068.1347,542.5828,525.55
Cash Retained (M)124,590.63124,590.63124,590.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-76,068.13-47,542.58-28,525.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)48,522.5077,048.0596,065.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.2322.5928.17
LTM Dividend per Share75.0075.0075.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.2322.5928.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend89.2397.59103.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Fair Value$2,019.32$2,867.05$4,283.17
Upside / Downside138.97%239.30%406.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)380,340.63391,365.30402,709.53414,382.59426,394.01438,753.59451,916.20
Payout Ratio67.24%71.79%76.35%80.90%85.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)255,750.00280,976.35307,450.26335,222.84364,347.16394,878.23418,022.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)261,505.94264,072.27266,638.61
Year 2 PV (M)266,316.72271,569.46276,873.50
Year 3 PV (M)270,252.03278,286.87286,479.40
Year 4 PV (M)273,377.35284,267.71295,480.24
Year 5 PV (M)275,754.20289,553.20303,899.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,582,477.089,011,952.419,458,451.30
Equity Value (M)9,929,683.3210,399,701.9110,887,822.20
Shares Outstanding (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
Fair Value$2,911.93$3,049.77$3,192.91
Upside / Downside244.61%260.92%277.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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