Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Norfolk Southern Corporation (0K8M.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General TransportationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.10 - $160.82$133.22
Multi-Stage$163.79 - $179.54$171.52
Blended Fair Value$152.37
Current Price$300.41
Upside-49.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.17%5.92%5.415.435.174.564.254.213.743.123.083.16
YoY Growth---0.33%4.97%13.52%7.08%1.16%12.44%20.06%1.15%-2.52%3.78%
Dividend Yield--2.28%2.15%2.44%1.60%1.58%2.88%1.93%2.29%2.75%3.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,962.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,218.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,744.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)592.40370.25222.15
Cash Retained (M)1,744.001,744.001,744.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-592.40-370.25-222.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,151.601,373.751,521.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.68225.68225.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.106.096.74
LTM Dividend per Share5.405.405.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.106.096.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.5011.4812.14
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-0.58%0.42%1.42%
Fair Value$108.10$133.22$160.82
Upside / Downside-64.01%-55.65%-46.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,962.002,974.532,987.122,999.763,012.453,025.203,115.96
Payout Ratio41.12%50.90%60.67%70.45%80.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,218.001,513.941,812.362,113.282,416.722,722.682,882.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-0.58%0.42%1.42%
Year 1 PV (M)1,374.101,387.921,401.74
Year 2 PV (M)1,493.011,523.191,553.68
Year 3 PV (M)1,580.091,628.251,677.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,640.061,707.051,776.06
Year 5 PV (M)1,677.021,763.081,852.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,199.2930,697.5732,256.72
Equity Value (M)36,963.5738,707.0540,518.20
Shares Outstanding (M)225.68225.68225.68
Fair Value$163.79$171.52$179.54
Upside / Downside-45.48%-42.91%-40.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 3 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
BLWBlackRock Limited Duration Income Trust11.50%$1.5893.39%
ELCEntergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT11.33%$2.3457.35%
VIASPVia Renewables, Inc.11.33%$2.8849.21%
BUIBlackRock Utilities, Infrastructure & Power Opportunities Trust11.31%$2.9358.72%
JPCNuveen Preferred & Income Opportunities Fund11.24%$0.9167.43%
RILYB. Riley Financial, Inc.11.21%$0.5856.91%
PFOFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Opportunity Fund Inc.11.06%$1.0543.18%
OXLCIOxford Lane Capital Corp.11.05%$2.8369.26%
USB-PSU.S. Bancorp Depositary Shares,10.98%$2.0243.68%
FLCFlaherty & Crumrine Total Return Fund Inc.10.93%$1.9242.77%
UTGReaves Utility Income Fund10.78%$4.0043.20%
CEMClearBridge MLP and Midstream Fund Inc10.77%$5.6046.76%
AIVApartment Investment and Management Company10.76%$0.6336.20%
DCFBNY Mellon Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc.10.71%$0.9942.71%
CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.10.70%$8.4032.04%
EMOClearBridge Energy Midstream Opportunity Fund Inc10.65%$4.7926.74%
CTRClearBridge MLP and Midstream Total Return Fund Inc.10.63%$5.0047.43%
EIMEaton Vance Municipal Bond Fund10.57%$1.0364.33%
VZAVerizon Communications, 5.9% 15 Feb 205410.57%$2.7049.90%
BPOPMPopular Capital Trust II PFD GTD 6.125%10.45%$2.6726.93%
RITMRithm Capital Corp.10.45%$1.1571.36%
IHTAInvesco High Income 2024 Target Term Fund10.33%$0.7826.82%
WUThe Western Union Company10.30%$0.9540.76%
ERHAllspring Utilities and High Income Fund10.26%$1.2231.06%
GDVThe Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust10.25%$2.8539.93%
CIIBlackRock Enhanced Capital and Income Fund, Inc.10.23%$2.3844.19%
GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.10.19%$1.3897.76%
PVCMXPalm Valley Capital Fund Investor Class10.19%$1.2483.81%
AEDVXEmerging Markets Debt Fund - Investor Class9.95%$0.9476.80%
HYTBlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund, Inc.9.83%$0.8799.09%
FFCFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Securities Income Fund Inc.9.79%$1.6337.81%
WENThe Wendy's Company9.78%$0.8082.75%
CMSACMS Energy Corporation 5.6% JRSUB NT 789.77%$2.1762.27%
HIEMiller/Howard High Income Equity Fund9.63%$1.2198.11%
NMSNuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Fund9.54%$1.1237.02%
CMSCCMS Energy Corporation 5.875% J9.48%$2.1762.27%
NEE-PNNextEra Energy, Inc. Series N J9.24%$2.2170.10%
CMSDCMS Energy Corporation 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 20799.20%$2.1762.27%
VFLabrdn National Municipal Income Fund9.06%$0.9334.18%
UANCVR Partners, LP8.96%$9.0975.52%
GGZThe Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust8.95%$1.3448.03%
SUNSSunrise Realty Trust, Inc.8.95%$0.8388.91%
PTYPIMCO Corporate & Income Opportunity Fund8.93%$1.1588.40%
ATHSAthene Holding Ltd. 7.250% Fixe8.86%$2.2214.14%
APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc.8.83%$3.6697.93%
VLTInvesco High Income Trust II8.83%$0.9846.97%
VTNInvesco Trust for Investment Grade New York Municipals8.75%$1.0165.99%
JEQAbrdn Japan Equity Fund Inc8.73%$0.6943.45%
MOAltria Group, Inc.8.69%$4.9894.54%
JGGCJaguar Global Growth Corporation I8.63%$0.1563.08%