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De Rucci Healthy Sleep Co., Ltd. (001323.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$144.10 - $320.23$300.10
Multi-Stage$49.11 - $53.69$51.36
Blended Fair Value$175.73
Current Price$27.61
Upside536.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS23.80%0.00%1.580.900.900.000.680.540.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.77%0.00%0.00%-100.00%25.86%3,048.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.30%3.10%2.66%0.00%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)711.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)513.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)198.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)142.3888.9953.39
Cash Retained (M)198.58198.58198.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-142.38-88.99-53.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.20109.59145.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.13442.13442.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$144.10$300.10$320.23
Upside / Downside421.92%986.93%1,059.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)711.92758.20807.48859.97915.87975.401,004.66
Payout Ratio72.11%75.68%79.26%82.84%86.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)513.34573.84640.04712.42791.50877.86929.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)534.04539.11544.17
Year 2 PV (M)554.34564.90575.56
Year 3 PV (M)574.24590.72607.52
Year 4 PV (M)593.74616.57640.06
Year 5 PV (M)612.85642.45673.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,842.4819,752.5820,697.51
Equity Value (M)21,711.6922,706.3223,737.99
Shares Outstanding (M)442.13442.13442.13
Fair Value$49.11$51.36$53.69
Upside / Downside77.86%86.01%94.46%

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