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PT Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk (WIIM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,230.77 - $36,052.11$33,786.11
Multi-Stage$4,936.47 - $5,402.06$5,165.00
Blended Fair Value$19,475.55
Current Price$1,270.00
Upside1,433.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS111.53%18.80%107.1572.8021.8620.753.542.530.0015.6925.3013.66
YoY Growth--47.18%233.02%5.37%485.71%40.00%0.00%-100.00%-38.00%85.19%-28.57%
Dividend Yield--16.48%6.07%2.51%4.57%0.40%3.20%0.00%6.03%5.60%3.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)376,136.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134,510.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)241,625.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75,227.2147,017.0028,210.20
Cash Retained (M)241,625.92241,625.92241,625.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-75,227.21-47,017.00-28,210.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)166,398.72194,608.92213,415.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,074.892,074.892,074.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share80.2093.79102.86
LTM Dividend per Share64.8364.8364.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share80.2093.79102.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend145.02158.62167.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12,230.77$33,786.11$36,052.11
Upside / Downside863.05%2,560.32%2,738.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)376,136.04400,584.88426,622.90454,353.39483,886.36515,338.97530,799.14
Payout Ratio35.76%46.61%57.46%68.30%79.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134,510.11186,707.90245,123.08310,343.41383,006.72463,805.07490,989.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)173,258.20174,900.46176,542.71
Year 2 PV (M)211,079.68215,100.16219,158.56
Year 3 PV (M)247,990.96255,109.89262,363.77
Year 4 PV (M)284,008.18294,930.33306,164.52
Year 5 PV (M)319,147.21334,562.14350,567.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,007,130.199,442,177.959,893,876.01
Equity Value (M)10,242,614.4210,716,780.9211,208,672.61
Shares Outstanding (M)2,074.892,074.892,074.89
Fair Value$4,936.47$5,165.00$5,402.06
Upside / Downside288.70%306.69%325.36%

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