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Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$106.36 - $283.94$162.96
Multi-Stage$76.88 - $83.77$80.26
Blended Fair Value$121.61
Current Price$134.79
Upside-9.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.40%9.79%2.342.142.661.901.451.501.360.911.571.33
YoY Growth--9.63%-19.56%39.56%31.46%-3.13%10.26%49.23%-42.26%18.64%44.01%
Dividend Yield--1.65%1.74%3.32%2.84%1.59%2.22%2.36%1.89%7.16%7.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)230.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)170.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.1228.8217.29
Cash Retained (M)59.7559.7559.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.12-28.82-17.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.6430.9342.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.1151.1151.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.610.83
LTM Dividend per Share3.343.343.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.610.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.613.954.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$106.36$162.96$283.94
Upside / Downside-21.09%20.90%110.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)230.58245.57261.53278.53296.63315.91325.39
Payout Ratio74.09%77.27%80.45%83.63%86.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)170.83189.75210.40232.94257.53284.32300.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)172.32173.95175.58
Year 2 PV (M)173.53176.83180.17
Year 3 PV (M)174.47179.48184.58
Year 4 PV (M)175.17181.90188.83
Year 5 PV (M)175.63184.11192.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,057.953,205.653,359.00
Equity Value (M)3,929.064,101.934,281.09
Shares Outstanding (M)51.1151.1151.11
Fair Value$76.88$80.26$83.77
Upside / Downside-42.96%-40.45%-37.85%

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