Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Full Access

See Pricing Start Trial

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$129.43 - $343.34$197.91
Multi-Stage$86.87 - $95.01$90.86
Blended Fair Value$144.39
Current Price$97.01
Upside48.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.63%6.76%0.400.370.360.340.320.300.320.290.260.24
YoY Growth--7.75%4.23%4.84%5.98%5.41%-6.33%10.23%12.57%9.65%14.70%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.30%0.28%0.31%0.28%0.59%0.72%0.72%0.99%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.6450.4030.24
Cash Retained (M)372.50372.50372.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.64-50.40-30.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.86322.10342.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.414.835.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$129.43$197.91$343.34
Upside / Downside33.42%104.01%253.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403.20429.41457.32487.05518.70552.42568.99
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.70103.45185.53277.84381.37497.18526.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.9394.8295.71
Year 2 PV (M)152.96155.87158.82
Year 3 PV (M)207.99213.96220.05
Year 4 PV (M)259.23269.20279.45
Year 5 PV (M)306.86321.68337.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,327.095,584.405,851.54
Equity Value (M)6,348.076,639.946,942.64
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
Fair Value$86.87$90.86$95.01
Upside / Downside-10.45%-6.33%-2.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 3 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
BLWBlackRock Limited Duration Income Trust11.50%$1.5893.39%
ELCEntergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT11.33%$2.3457.35%
VIASPVia Renewables, Inc.11.33%$2.8849.21%
BUIBlackRock Utilities, Infrastructure & Power Opportunities Trust11.31%$2.9358.72%
JPCNuveen Preferred & Income Opportunities Fund11.24%$0.9167.43%
RILYB. Riley Financial, Inc.11.21%$0.5856.91%
PFOFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Opportunity Fund Inc.11.06%$1.0543.18%
OXLCIOxford Lane Capital Corp.11.05%$2.8369.26%
USB-PSU.S. Bancorp Depositary Shares,10.98%$2.0243.68%
FLCFlaherty & Crumrine Total Return Fund Inc.10.93%$1.9242.77%
UTGReaves Utility Income Fund10.78%$4.0043.20%
CEMClearBridge MLP and Midstream Fund Inc10.77%$5.6046.76%
AIVApartment Investment and Management Company10.76%$0.6336.20%
DCFBNY Mellon Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc.10.71%$0.9942.71%
CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.10.70%$8.4032.04%
EMOClearBridge Energy Midstream Opportunity Fund Inc10.65%$4.7926.74%
CTRClearBridge MLP and Midstream Total Return Fund Inc.10.63%$5.0047.43%
EIMEaton Vance Municipal Bond Fund10.57%$1.0364.33%
VZAVerizon Communications, 5.9% 15 Feb 205410.57%$2.7049.90%
BPOPMPopular Capital Trust II PFD GTD 6.125%10.45%$2.6726.93%
RITMRithm Capital Corp.10.45%$1.1571.36%
IHTAInvesco High Income 2024 Target Term Fund10.33%$0.7826.82%
WUThe Western Union Company10.30%$0.9540.76%
ERHAllspring Utilities and High Income Fund10.26%$1.2231.06%
GDVThe Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust10.25%$2.8539.93%
CIIBlackRock Enhanced Capital and Income Fund, Inc.10.23%$2.3844.19%
GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.10.19%$1.3897.76%
PVCMXPalm Valley Capital Fund Investor Class10.19%$1.2483.81%
AEDVXEmerging Markets Debt Fund - Investor Class9.95%$0.9476.80%
HYTBlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund, Inc.9.83%$0.8799.09%
FFCFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Securities Income Fund Inc.9.79%$1.6337.81%
WENThe Wendy's Company9.78%$0.8082.75%
CMSACMS Energy Corporation 5.6% JRSUB NT 789.77%$2.1762.27%
HIEMiller/Howard High Income Equity Fund9.63%$1.2198.11%
NMSNuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Fund9.54%$1.1237.02%
CMSCCMS Energy Corporation 5.875% J9.48%$2.1762.27%
NEE-PNNextEra Energy, Inc. Series N J9.24%$2.2170.10%
CMSDCMS Energy Corporation 5.875% Junior Subordinated Notes due 20799.20%$2.1762.27%
VFLabrdn National Municipal Income Fund9.06%$0.9334.18%
UANCVR Partners, LP8.96%$9.0975.52%
GGZThe Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust8.95%$1.3448.03%
SUNSSunrise Realty Trust, Inc.8.95%$0.8388.91%
PTYPIMCO Corporate & Income Opportunity Fund8.93%$1.1588.40%
ATHSAthene Holding Ltd. 7.250% Fixe8.86%$2.2214.14%
APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc.8.83%$3.6697.93%
VLTInvesco High Income Trust II8.83%$0.9846.97%
VTNInvesco Trust for Investment Grade New York Municipals8.75%$1.0165.99%
JEQAbrdn Japan Equity Fund Inc8.73%$0.6943.45%
MOAltria Group, Inc.8.69%$4.9894.54%
JGGCJaguar Global Growth Corporation I8.63%$0.1563.08%