Definitive Analysis
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Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation (8986.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212,104.09 - $479,726.03$307,980.38
Multi-Stage$241,875.55 - $264,792.90$253,120.84
Blended Fair Value$280,550.61
Current Price$107,400.00
Upside161.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.004,405.754,073.063,918.643,792.472,776.662,700.292,654.712,460.362,369.16
YoY Growth---100.00%8.17%3.94%3.33%36.58%2.83%1.72%7.90%3.85%12.07%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.54%3.67%3.41%3.39%2.55%2.71%2.95%3.10%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,833.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,357.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,476.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,166.793,229.241,937.55
Cash Retained (M)9,476.329,476.329,476.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,166.79-3,229.24-1,937.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,309.536,247.087,538.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.402.402.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,794.542,601.363,139.24
LTM Dividend per Share6,811.516,811.516,811.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,794.542,601.363,139.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,606.059,412.879,950.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$212,104.09$307,980.38$479,726.03
Upside / Downside97.49%186.76%346.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,833.9426,851.3927,908.9029,008.0630,150.5231,337.9632,278.10
Payout Ratio63.32%68.65%73.99%79.33%84.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,357.6218,434.7320,650.0723,011.3225,526.5328,204.1729,857.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)17,044.6317,210.2117,375.79
Year 2 PV (M)17,653.1917,997.8418,345.82
Year 3 PV (M)18,188.3718,723.6119,269.25
Year 4 PV (M)18,654.9819,390.5120,147.58
Year 5 PV (M)19,057.5520,001.3820,982.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)490,257.45514,537.78539,770.73
Equity Value (M)580,856.16607,861.34635,891.42
Shares Outstanding (M)2.402.402.40
Fair Value$241,875.55$253,120.84$264,792.90
Upside / Downside125.21%135.68%146.55%

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