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Kim Loong Resources Berhad (5027.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.28 - $32.89$30.82
Multi-Stage$5.31 - $5.81$5.56
Blended Fair Value$18.19
Current Price$2.35
Upside674.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS25.67%0.00%0.180.150.140.110.040.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.80%7.40%29.07%180.74%-33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.07%6.68%7.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)161.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)146.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.4020.2512.15
Cash Retained (M)15.2515.2515.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.40-20.25-12.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.14-5.003.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)979.45979.45979.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.28$30.82$32.89
Upside / Downside635.44%1,211.65%1,299.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)161.99172.52183.73195.67208.39221.93228.59
Payout Ratio90.58%90.47%90.35%90.23%90.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)146.73156.07166.00176.56187.79199.74211.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)145.43146.81148.19
Year 2 PV (M)144.14146.88149.66
Year 3 PV (M)142.86146.96151.14
Year 4 PV (M)141.59147.04152.64
Year 5 PV (M)140.33147.11154.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,491.354,708.284,933.52
Equity Value (M)5,205.705,443.085,689.28
Shares Outstanding (M)979.45979.45979.45
Fair Value$5.31$5.56$5.81
Upside / Downside126.17%136.48%147.18%

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