Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$121.65 - $260.41$173.27
Multi-Stage$108.95 - $118.63$113.70
Blended Fair Value$143.49
Current Price$83.53
Upside71.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%8.60%6.346.316.014.043.963.753.543.263.112.97
YoY Growth--0.50%5.04%48.79%1.87%5.64%6.08%8.66%4.84%4.67%6.72%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.28%3.10%1.88%2.33%4.02%3.09%3.11%2.89%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,395.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,100.40687.75412.65
Cash Retained (M)107.00107.00107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,100.40-687.75-412.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-993.40-580.75-305.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.346.346.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$121.65$173.27$260.41
Upside / Downside45.63%107.43%211.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,502.005,811.836,139.106,484.806,849.977,235.707,452.78
Payout Ratio98.06%96.44%94.83%93.22%91.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,395.005,605.175,821.906,045.276,275.336,512.136,893.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,089.945,138.595,187.23
Year 2 PV (M)4,800.794,892.994,986.07
Year 3 PV (M)4,526.764,657.794,791.33
Year 4 PV (M)4,267.094,432.584,602.83
Year 5 PV (M)4,021.084,216.944,420.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,012.4973,422.7476,964.60
Equity Value (M)92,718.1596,761.63100,952.43
Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
Fair Value$108.95$113.70$118.63
Upside / Downside30.43%36.12%42.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 3 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
1272.HKDatang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd.13.53%$0.1542.28%
MID-UN.TOMINT Income Fund13.47%$1.0661.55%
1126.HKDream International Limited13.45%$1.1550.50%
HCO.PAHigh Co. S.A.13.45%$0.5362.33%
2348.HKDawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) Limited13.44%$0.1633.06%
0384.HKChina Gas Holdings Limited13.43%$1.0494.76%
AEFAbrdn Emerging Markets Equity Income Fund Inc13.42%$0.9661.57%
9616.HKNeutech Group Limited13.40%$0.3455.10%
WN-PA.TOGeorge Weston Limited13.36%$3.4127.39%
CY4.FKelsian Group Limited13.31%$0.3278.26%
1100.HKMainland Headwear Holdings Limited13.28%$0.1742.95%
1755.HKS-Enjoy Service Group Co., Limited13.28%$0.3733.22%
DRR.AXDeterra Royalties Limited13.28%$0.5593.57%
2942.TWOJing-Jan Retail Business Co., Ltd.13.27%$4.1962.94%
1985.HKMicroware Group Limited13.26%$0.1768.95%
SSG.AXShaver Shop Group Limited13.25%$0.2086.08%
1553.HKMaike Tube Industry Holdings Limited13.22%$0.2027.92%
3306.HKJNBY Design Limited13.22%$2.5577.85%
0363.HKShanghai Industrial Holdings Limited13.17%$1.9035.00%
0579.HKBeijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co., Limited13.09%$0.3042.68%
RI.PAPernod Ricard S.A.13.06%$9.5377.43%
VULC3.SAVulcabras S.A.13.05%$2.6060.16%
600919.SSBank of Jiangsu Co., Ltd.13.01%$1.3572.63%
1551.HKGuangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.13.00%$0.2058.85%
EIT-UN.TOCanoe EIT Income Fund13.00%$2.0542.34%
4334.SRAl Maather Reit Fund12.98%$1.1689.22%
BCE-PA.TOBCE Inc.12.97%$2.7139.91%
HLO.AXHelloworld Travel Limited12.97%$0.2567.50%
4347.SRBonyan REIT Fund12.96%$1.2193.24%
1526.HKRici Healthcare Holdings Limited12.94%$0.1438.91%
3709.HKEEKA Fashion Holdings Limited12.93%$0.9958.41%
ELSA.JKPT Elnusa Tbk12.90%$65.7979.08%
3348.HKChina PengFei Group Limited12.88%$0.1642.43%
BAYU.JKPT Bayu Buana Tbk12.87%$175.0059.18%
MJLF.BKMajor Cineplex Lifestyle Leasehold Property Fund.12.81%$0.6246.37%
037460.KQSamji Electronics Co., Ltd.12.80%$1,880.7647.73%
1785.HKChengdu Expressway Co., Ltd.12.79%$0.2688.07%
GWO-PN.TOGreat-West Lifeco Inc.12.76%$2.3953.09%
UNC.TOUnited Corporations Limited12.75%$1.8760.14%
FDJ.PAFDJ United12.74%$3.8390.91%
IRAO.MEPJSC Inter RAO UES12.74%$0.3919.11%
0OGG.LS.A. Catana Group12.72%$0.3722.37%
TAPG.JKPT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk12.65%$191.0090.66%
2407.HKGaush Meditech Ltd12.64%$1.0277.13%
MPCK.DEMPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG12.63%$0.6260.64%
EDL.DEEdel SE & Co. KGaA12.60%$0.5754.20%
0086.HKSun Hung Kai & Co. Limited12.59%$0.5294.25%
4340.SRAl Rajhi REIT Fund12.56%$1.0083.50%
TRMDTORM plc12.54%$2.4890.35%
0819.HKTianneng Power International Limited12.50%$0.8935.06%