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Gentex Corporation (GNTX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.45 - $23.63$19.27
Multi-Stage$21.54 - $23.61$22.55
Blended Fair Value$20.91
Current Price$28.30
Upside-26.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.03%2.34%0.490.500.500.510.520.520.520.480.450.43
YoY Growth---1.53%-0.83%-1.90%-1.62%0.75%-0.22%7.12%7.60%4.27%10.68%
Dividend Yield--2.10%1.38%1.79%1.75%1.46%2.33%2.45%2.10%2.10%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)379.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)107.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)271.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.9147.4428.47
Cash Retained (M)271.67271.67271.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.91-47.44-28.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)195.76224.23243.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.63225.63225.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.870.991.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.870.991.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.34%1.34%2.34%
Fair Value$15.45$19.27$23.63
Upside / Downside-45.41%-31.90%-16.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)379.55384.64389.79395.01400.31405.67417.84
Payout Ratio28.42%40.74%53.05%65.37%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)107.88156.69206.80258.22310.98365.10386.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.34%1.34%2.34%
Year 1 PV (M)142.23143.65145.07
Year 2 PV (M)170.39173.80177.25
Year 3 PV (M)193.12198.95204.90
Year 4 PV (M)211.12219.66228.46
Year 5 PV (M)224.99236.42248.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,917.324,116.454,323.60
Equity Value (M)4,859.175,088.945,327.60
Shares Outstanding (M)225.63225.63225.63
Fair Value$21.54$22.55$23.61
Upside / Downside-23.90%-20.30%-16.56%

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