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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - SpecialtySector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.32 - $141.02$87.59
Multi-Stage$47.31 - $51.54$49.39
Blended Fair Value$68.49
Current Price$46.61
Upside46.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.11%5.33%3.003.012.782.290.832.131.991.911.550.91
YoY Growth---0.39%8.19%21.61%174.99%-60.87%7.03%3.98%23.58%70.16%-49.05%
Dividend Yield--5.89%6.61%5.34%4.88%1.96%7.67%5.13%5.71%4.63%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)775.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)638.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)155.0196.8858.13
Cash Retained (M)136.26136.26136.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-155.01-96.88-58.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.7539.3878.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.06277.06277.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.140.28
LTM Dividend per Share2.312.312.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.140.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.11%6.11%7.11%
Fair Value$59.32$87.59$141.02
Upside / Downside27.27%87.92%202.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)775.03822.42872.70926.06982.691,042.781,074.06
Payout Ratio82.42%83.94%85.45%86.97%88.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)638.77690.30745.74805.38869.52938.50993.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.11%6.11%7.11%
Year 1 PV (M)626.87632.84638.80
Year 2 PV (M)615.00626.75638.62
Year 3 PV (M)603.15620.53638.24
Year 4 PV (M)591.36614.19637.67
Year 5 PV (M)579.63607.73636.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,092.0810,581.3511,089.42
Equity Value (M)13,108.0913,683.3914,279.66
Shares Outstanding (M)277.06277.06277.06
Fair Value$47.31$49.39$51.54
Upside / Downside1.51%5.96%10.58%

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