DDM Analysis: BBTN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4,172.26 - $8,821.12	$5,916.85
Multi-Stage	$5,009.81 - $5,496.35	$5,248.49
Blended Fair Value	$5,582.67
Current Price	$1,285.00
Upside	334.45%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.51%	4.10%	49.89	43.39	16.93	0.00	1.49	40.01	43.14	37.32	26.38	15.90
YoY Growth	-	-	14.97%	156.29%	0.00%	-100.00%	-96.27%	-7.25%	15.60%	41.49%	65.91%	-52.39%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.64%	2.91%	1.38%	0.00%	0.09%	4.94%	1.88%	1.11%	1.21%	0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,227,615.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	751,833.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,475,782.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	645,523.00	403,451.88	242,071.13
Cash Retained (M)	2,475,782.00	2,475,782.00	2,475,782.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-645,523.00	-403,451.88	-242,071.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,830,259.00	2,072,330.13	2,233,710.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	14,034.44	14,034.44	14,034.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	130.41	147.66	159.16
LTM Dividend per Share	53.57	53.57	53.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	130.41	147.66	159.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	183.98	201.23	212.73
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	2.51%	3.51%	4.51%
Fair Value	$4,172.26	$5,916.85	$8,821.12
Upside / Downside	224.69%	360.46%	586.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,227,615.00	3,340,929.34	3,458,221.89	3,579,632.32	3,705,305.21	3,835,390.18	3,950,451.88
Payout Ratio	23.29%	36.64%	49.98%	63.32%	76.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	751,833.00	1,223,949.82	1,728,289.90	2,266,533.89	2,840,440.75	3,451,851.16	3,654,167.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	2.51%	3.51%	4.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,132,497.78	1,143,545.38	1,154,592.98
Year 2 PV (M)	1,479,667.33	1,508,676.66	1,537,967.60
Year 3 PV (M)	1,795,491.93	1,848,551.64	1,902,646.52
Year 4 PV (M)	2,081,999.99	2,164,436.74	2,249,297.64
Year 5 PV (M)	2,341,104.48	2,457,542.36	2,578,567.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)	61,479,143.94	64,536,889.25	67,715,106.84
Equity Value (M)	70,309,905.46	73,659,642.03	77,138,179.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	14,034.44	14,034.44	14,034.44
Fair Value	$5,009.81	$5,248.49	$5,496.35
Upside / Downside	289.87%	308.44%	327.73%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
1272.HK	Datang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd.	13.53%	$0.15	42.28%
MID-UN.TO	MINT Income Fund	13.47%	$1.06	61.55%
1126.HK	Dream International Limited	13.45%	$1.15	50.50%
HCO.PA	High Co. S.A.	13.45%	$0.53	62.33%
2348.HK	Dawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) Limited	13.44%	$0.16	33.06%
0384.HK	China Gas Holdings Limited	13.43%	$1.04	94.76%
AEF	Abrdn Emerging Markets Equity Income Fund Inc	13.42%	$0.96	61.57%
9616.HK	Neutech Group Limited	13.40%	$0.34	55.10%
WN-PA.TO	George Weston Limited	13.36%	$3.41	27.39%
CY4.F	Kelsian Group Limited	13.31%	$0.32	78.26%
1100.HK	Mainland Headwear Holdings Limited	13.28%	$0.17	42.95%
1755.HK	S-Enjoy Service Group Co., Limited	13.28%	$0.37	33.22%
DRR.AX	Deterra Royalties Limited	13.28%	$0.55	93.57%
2942.TWO	Jing-Jan Retail Business Co., Ltd.	13.27%	$4.19	62.94%
1985.HK	Microware Group Limited	13.26%	$0.17	68.95%
SSG.AX	Shaver Shop Group Limited	13.25%	$0.20	86.08%
1553.HK	Maike Tube Industry Holdings Limited	13.22%	$0.20	27.92%
3306.HK	JNBY Design Limited	13.22%	$2.55	77.85%
0363.HK	Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited	13.17%	$1.90	35.00%
0579.HK	Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co., Limited	13.09%	$0.30	42.68%
RI.PA	Pernod Ricard S.A.	13.06%	$9.53	77.43%
VULC3.SA	Vulcabras S.A.	13.05%	$2.60	60.16%
600919.SS	Bank of Jiangsu Co., Ltd.	13.01%	$1.35	72.63%
1551.HK	Guangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.	13.00%	$0.20	58.85%
EIT-UN.TO	Canoe EIT Income Fund	13.00%	$2.05	42.34%
4334.SR	Al Maather Reit Fund	12.98%	$1.16	89.22%
BCE-PA.TO	BCE Inc.	12.97%	$2.71	39.91%
HLO.AX	Helloworld Travel Limited	12.97%	$0.25	67.50%
4347.SR	Bonyan REIT Fund	12.96%	$1.21	93.24%
1526.HK	Rici Healthcare Holdings Limited	12.94%	$0.14	38.91%
3709.HK	EEKA Fashion Holdings Limited	12.93%	$0.99	58.41%
ELSA.JK	PT Elnusa Tbk	12.90%	$65.79	79.08%
3348.HK	China PengFei Group Limited	12.88%	$0.16	42.43%
BAYU.JK	PT Bayu Buana Tbk	12.87%	$175.00	59.18%
MJLF.BK	Major Cineplex Lifestyle Leasehold Property Fund.	12.81%	$0.62	46.37%
037460.KQ	Samji Electronics Co., Ltd.	12.80%	$1,880.76	47.73%
1785.HK	Chengdu Expressway Co., Ltd.	12.79%	$0.26	88.07%
GWO-PN.TO	Great-West Lifeco Inc.	12.76%	$2.39	53.09%
UNC.TO	United Corporations Limited	12.75%	$1.87	60.14%
FDJ.PA	FDJ United	12.74%	$3.83	90.91%
IRAO.ME	PJSC Inter RAO UES	12.74%	$0.39	19.11%
0OGG.L	S.A. Catana Group	12.72%	$0.37	22.37%
TAPG.JK	PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk	12.65%	$191.00	90.66%
2407.HK	Gaush Meditech Ltd	12.64%	$1.02	77.13%
MPCK.DE	MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG	12.63%	$0.62	60.64%
EDL.DE	Edel SE & Co. KGaA	12.60%	$0.57	54.20%
0086.HK	Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited	12.59%	$0.52	94.25%
4340.SR	Al Rajhi REIT Fund	12.56%	$1.00	83.50%
TRMD	TORM plc	12.54%	$2.48	90.35%
0819.HK	Tianneng Power International Limited	12.50%	$0.89	35.06%

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PT Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk (BBTN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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