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361 Degrees International Limited (1361.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.06 - $217.76$204.08
Multi-Stage$32.20 - $35.25$33.70
Blended Fair Value$118.89
Current Price$4.55
Upside2,512.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.90%18.83%0.280.060.000.000.010.080.090.070.150.08
YoY Growth--376.47%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-83.60%-12.77%32.39%-53.59%91.25%60.00%
Dividend Yield--7.05%1.96%0.00%0.00%1.48%6.46%6.57%3.16%5.69%3.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,264.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)892.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,371.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)452.82283.01169.81
Cash Retained (M)1,371.201,371.201,371.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-452.82-283.01-169.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)918.381,088.191,201.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,067.692,067.692,067.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.530.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.530.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$93.06$204.08$217.76
Upside / Downside1,945.31%4,385.22%4,686.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,264.092,411.252,567.982,734.902,912.673,101.993,195.05
Payout Ratio39.44%49.55%59.66%69.77%79.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)892.891,194.761,532.111,908.272,326.862,791.792,955.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,111.381,121.921,132.45
Year 2 PV (M)1,325.731,350.981,376.47
Year 3 PV (M)1,535.981,580.071,625.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,742.191,809.191,878.10
Year 5 PV (M)1,944.422,038.342,135.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)58,927.8261,774.0664,729.22
Equity Value (M)66,587.5269,674.5572,877.10
Shares Outstanding (M)2,067.692,067.692,067.69
Fair Value$32.20$33.70$35.25
Upside / Downside607.78%640.59%674.63%

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