Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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S&P Global Inc. (0KYY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$314.93 - $835.42$481.56
Multi-Stage$216.52 - $236.51$226.33
Blended Fair Value$353.95
Current Price$486.71
Upside-27.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.16%13.28%3.693.733.332.422.101.821.641.371.241.18
YoY Growth---1.13%12.01%37.82%15.19%15.18%11.33%19.48%10.79%4.68%11.35%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.87%0.97%0.59%0.59%0.74%0.77%0.72%0.95%1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,129.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,160.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,969.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)825.80516.13309.68
Cash Retained (M)2,969.002,969.002,969.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-825.80-516.13-309.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,143.202,452.882,659.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)307.55307.55307.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.977.988.65
LTM Dividend per Share3.773.773.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.977.988.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.7411.7512.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$314.93$481.56$835.42
Upside / Downside-35.29%-1.06%71.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,129.004,397.394,683.224,987.625,311.825,657.095,826.80
Payout Ratio28.09%40.48%52.86%65.24%77.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,160.001,779.852,475.383,253.814,122.975,091.385,389.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,616.101,631.421,646.74
Year 2 PV (M)2,040.862,079.732,118.97
Year 3 PV (M)2,435.852,505.772,577.02
Year 4 PV (M)2,802.562,910.343,021.19
Year 5 PV (M)3,142.433,294.213,451.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)54,552.5157,187.4259,923.17
Equity Value (M)66,590.3169,608.9072,738.90
Shares Outstanding (M)307.55307.55307.55
Fair Value$216.52$226.33$236.51
Upside / Downside-55.51%-53.50%-51.41%

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