Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd. (001213.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.19 - $1.84$1.49
Multi-Stage$2.73 - $3.01$2.87
Blended Fair Value$2.18
Current Price$4.17
Upside-47.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.040.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--56.76%58.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.45%0.91%0.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)566.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)271.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)295.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.3570.8442.51
Cash Retained (M)295.65295.65295.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.35-70.84-42.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)182.29224.80253.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,444.614,444.614,444.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.19$1.49$1.84
Upside / Downside-71.45%-64.19%-55.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)566.76561.09555.48549.92544.42538.98555.15
Payout Ratio47.84%56.27%64.70%73.13%81.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)271.11315.72359.40402.18444.07485.08513.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)293.74296.74299.73
Year 2 PV (M)311.10317.49323.93
Year 3 PV (M)323.90333.92344.14
Year 4 PV (M)332.74346.53360.75
Year 5 PV (M)338.17355.78374.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,539.4211,088.2311,659.67
Equity Value (M)12,139.0712,738.6813,362.33
Shares Outstanding (M)4,444.614,444.614,444.61
Fair Value$2.73$2.87$3.01
Upside / Downside-34.50%-31.27%-27.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 3 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
1272.HKDatang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd.13.53%$0.1542.28%
MID-UN.TOMINT Income Fund13.47%$1.0661.55%
1126.HKDream International Limited13.45%$1.1550.50%
HCO.PAHigh Co. S.A.13.45%$0.5362.33%
2348.HKDawnrays Pharmaceutical (Holdings) Limited13.44%$0.1633.06%
0384.HKChina Gas Holdings Limited13.43%$1.0494.76%
AEFAbrdn Emerging Markets Equity Income Fund Inc13.42%$0.9661.57%
9616.HKNeutech Group Limited13.40%$0.3455.10%
WN-PA.TOGeorge Weston Limited13.36%$3.4127.39%
CY4.FKelsian Group Limited13.31%$0.3278.26%
1100.HKMainland Headwear Holdings Limited13.28%$0.1742.95%
1755.HKS-Enjoy Service Group Co., Limited13.28%$0.3733.22%
DRR.AXDeterra Royalties Limited13.28%$0.5593.57%
2942.TWOJing-Jan Retail Business Co., Ltd.13.27%$4.1962.94%
1985.HKMicroware Group Limited13.26%$0.1768.95%
SSG.AXShaver Shop Group Limited13.25%$0.2086.08%
1553.HKMaike Tube Industry Holdings Limited13.22%$0.2027.92%
3306.HKJNBY Design Limited13.22%$2.5577.85%
0363.HKShanghai Industrial Holdings Limited13.17%$1.9035.00%
0579.HKBeijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co., Limited13.09%$0.3042.68%
RI.PAPernod Ricard S.A.13.06%$9.5377.43%
VULC3.SAVulcabras S.A.13.05%$2.6060.16%
600919.SSBank of Jiangsu Co., Ltd.13.01%$1.3572.63%
1551.HKGuangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.13.00%$0.2058.85%
EIT-UN.TOCanoe EIT Income Fund13.00%$2.0542.34%
4334.SRAl Maather Reit Fund12.98%$1.1689.22%
BCE-PA.TOBCE Inc.12.97%$2.7139.91%
HLO.AXHelloworld Travel Limited12.97%$0.2567.50%
4347.SRBonyan REIT Fund12.96%$1.2193.24%
1526.HKRici Healthcare Holdings Limited12.94%$0.1438.91%
3709.HKEEKA Fashion Holdings Limited12.93%$0.9958.41%
ELSA.JKPT Elnusa Tbk12.90%$65.7979.08%
3348.HKChina PengFei Group Limited12.88%$0.1642.43%
BAYU.JKPT Bayu Buana Tbk12.87%$175.0059.18%
MJLF.BKMajor Cineplex Lifestyle Leasehold Property Fund.12.81%$0.6246.37%
037460.KQSamji Electronics Co., Ltd.12.80%$1,880.7647.73%
1785.HKChengdu Expressway Co., Ltd.12.79%$0.2688.07%
GWO-PN.TOGreat-West Lifeco Inc.12.76%$2.3953.09%
UNC.TOUnited Corporations Limited12.75%$1.8760.14%
FDJ.PAFDJ United12.74%$3.8390.91%
IRAO.MEPJSC Inter RAO UES12.74%$0.3919.11%
0OGG.LS.A. Catana Group12.72%$0.3722.37%
TAPG.JKPT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk12.65%$191.0090.66%
2407.HKGaush Meditech Ltd12.64%$1.0277.13%
MPCK.DEMPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG12.63%$0.6260.64%
EDL.DEEdel SE & Co. KGaA12.60%$0.5754.20%
0086.HKSun Hung Kai & Co. Limited12.59%$0.5294.25%
4340.SRAl Rajhi REIT Fund12.56%$1.0083.50%
TRMDTORM plc12.54%$2.4890.35%
0819.HKTianneng Power International Limited12.50%$0.8935.06%