Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.12 - $71.51$57.88
Multi-Stage$67.49 - $73.67$70.53
Blended Fair Value$64.20
Current Price$170.26
Upside-62.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.49%9.59%4.434.644.995.125.124.774.383.973.552.71
YoY Growth---4.68%-7.04%-2.50%0.13%7.24%8.98%10.23%11.79%31.01%53.07%
Dividend Yield--3.35%2.69%3.58%5.04%7.15%10.52%5.06%4.28%5.36%4.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,495.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,400.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)95.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)299.00186.88112.13
Cash Retained (M)95.0095.0095.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-299.00-186.88-112.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-204.00-91.88-17.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)312.75312.75312.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.65-0.29-0.05
LTM Dividend per Share4.484.484.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.65-0.29-0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.824.184.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Fair Value$46.12$57.88$71.51
Upside / Downside-72.91%-66.01%-58.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,495.001,521.091,547.631,574.641,602.121,630.081,678.98
Payout Ratio93.65%92.92%92.19%91.46%90.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,400.001,413.341,426.721,440.141,453.591,467.071,553.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)1,282.751,295.481,308.21
Year 2 PV (M)1,175.241,198.691,222.36
Year 3 PV (M)1,076.681,109.061,142.08
Year 4 PV (M)986.321,026.061,067.00
Year 5 PV (M)903.48949.22996.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,684.3916,478.4217,304.28
Equity Value (M)21,108.8522,056.9223,040.73
Shares Outstanding (M)312.75312.75312.75
Fair Value$67.49$70.53$73.67
Upside / Downside-60.36%-58.58%-56.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 29 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SUSuncor Energy Inc.5.07%$2.3153.29%
023410.KQEugene Corporation5.06%$183.4563.50%
7537.TMarubun Corporation5.06%$65.8855.36%
GLJ.DEGrenke AG5.06%$0.7954.91%
KZOS.MEKazan Public Joint Stock Company Organichesky sintez5.06%$3.3620.60%
LTLS.JKPT Lautan Luas Tbk5.06%$43.7440.34%
MDS-UN.TOHealthcare Special Opportunities Fund5.06%$0.5664.99%
PUUILO.HEPuuilo Oyj5.06%$0.6382.63%
VCI.VVitreous Glass Inc.5.06%$0.3791.09%
051600.KSKEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co.,Ltd.5.05%$2,469.0084.53%
BLXBanco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A.5.05%$2.2137.06%
TLI.BKThai Life Insurance Public Company Limited5.05%$0.5047.29%
031330.KQSAMT Co., Ltd.5.04%$200.0045.01%
DCR.WADecora S.A.5.04%$3.7855.77%
PST.MIPoste Italiane S.p.A.5.04%$1.0965.05%
RDX.AXRedox Limited5.04%$0.1554.66%
UPOIC.BKUnited Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited5.04%$0.3361.35%
WKL.ASWolters Kluwer N.V.5.04%$4.4348.01%
000600.SZJointo Energy Investment Co., Ltd. Hebei5.03%$0.4345.84%
0QNN.LBurckhardt Compression Holding AG5.03%$27.4847.49%
002233.SZGuangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd.5.02%$0.4570.96%
9308.TInui Global Logistics Co., Ltd.5.02%$68.9239.29%
FFI.AXFFI Holdings Limited5.02%$0.2431.68%
SJWD.BKSCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited5.02%$0.3762.75%
007590.KSDONGBANG AGRO Corporation5.01%$300.1154.47%
0151.HKWant Want China Holdings Limited5.01%$0.2363.82%
2971.TEscon Japan REIT Investment Corporation5.01%$6,447.9060.16%
BBL-R.BKBangkok Bank Public Company Limited5.01%$8.5034.27%
DIC.AEDubai Investments PJSC5.01%$0.1858.95%
006390.KSHanil Hyundai Cement Co., Ltd5.00%$900.0433.14%
600998.SSJointown Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd5.00%$0.2646.36%
7020.SREtihad Etisalat Company5.00%$3.3172.99%
KA8.DEKlassik Radio AG5.00%$0.1595.39%
ORDS.QAOoredoo Q.P.S.C.4.99%$0.6557.81%
002616.SZGuangdong Chant Group Inc.4.98%$0.2771.11%
039130.KSHanatour Service Inc.4.98%$2,419.0255.18%
1264.TWOTehmag Foods Corporation4.98%$13.9967.27%
1295.KLPublic Bank Berhad4.98%$0.2260.48%
AW-UN.TOA&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund4.98%$1.8492.91%
WPK.TOWinpak Ltd.4.98%$2.2699.45%
000776.SZGF Securities Co., Ltd.4.97%$1.0960.30%
5236.KLMatrix Concepts Holdings Berhad4.97%$0.0756.54%
601298.SSQingdao Port International Co., Ltd.4.97%$0.4149.05%
7133.KLUnited U-LI Corporation Berhad4.97%$0.0846.08%
9925.TWTaiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd.4.97%$2.0281.40%
034590.KSIncheon City Gas Co., Ltd.4.96%$1,251.1528.53%
0QP4.ILGeorg Fischer AG4.96%$2.6644.86%
4163.SRAl-Dawaa Medical Services Company4.96%$2.5157.67%
9163.TNareru Group Inc.4.96%$114.0343.61%
CPFE3.SACPFL Energia S.A.4.96%$2.6656.33%