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Sogn Sparebank (SOGN.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,704.31 - $35,012.38$30,887.18
Multi-Stage$4,361.53 - $4,776.25$4,565.07
Blended Fair Value$17,726.13
Current Price$255.00
Upside6,851.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.63%16.52%15.0010.005.386.360.002.000.003.004.003.25
YoY Growth--50.01%85.76%-15.38%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-24.98%23.05%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.91%5.46%3.32%4.24%0.00%2.09%0.00%3.77%5.18%4.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.2713.928.35
Cash Retained (M)98.7098.7098.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.27-13.92-8.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.4384.7890.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share120.84134.04142.85
LTM Dividend per Share20.0020.0020.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share120.84134.04142.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend140.84154.05162.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9,704.31$30,887.18$35,012.38
Upside / Downside3,705.61%12,012.62%13,630.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111.35118.59126.30134.51143.25152.56157.14
Payout Ratio11.36%27.09%42.82%58.54%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6532.1354.0878.75106.40137.31145.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.7330.0130.30
Year 2 PV (M)46.3247.2148.10
Year 3 PV (M)62.4364.2366.05
Year 4 PV (M)78.0781.0784.16
Year 5 PV (M)93.2597.76102.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,448.852,567.132,689.94
Equity Value (M)2,758.672,887.413,020.98
Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
Fair Value$4,361.53$4,565.07$4,776.25
Upside / Downside1,610.40%1,690.23%1,773.04%

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