Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Onex Corporation (ONEX.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.56 - $28.37$25.12
Multi-Stage$53.10 - $59.06$56.02
Blended Fair Value$40.57
Current Price$82.34
Upside-50.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.86%3.07%0.320.340.360.390.410.390.350.310.280.27
YoY Growth---4.17%-7.69%-7.14%-3.45%3.57%12.00%13.64%10.00%5.26%11.76%
Dividend Yield--0.48%0.45%0.78%0.58%0.65%1.07%0.61%0.43%0.39%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)434.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)413.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)86.8054.2532.55
Cash Retained (M)413.00413.00413.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-86.80-54.25-32.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)326.20358.75380.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.5071.5071.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.565.025.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.565.025.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.865.315.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate-12.10%-11.10%-10.10%
Fair Value$21.56$25.12$28.37
Upside / Downside-73.81%-69.49%-65.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)434.00385.81342.98304.89271.04240.95248.18
Payout Ratio4.84%21.87%38.90%55.94%72.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.0084.38133.43170.54197.77216.85229.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate-12.10%-11.10%-10.10%
Year 1 PV (M)77.4778.3579.24
Year 2 PV (M)112.48115.05117.65
Year 3 PV (M)132.00136.55141.21
Year 4 PV (M)140.54147.04153.77
Year 5 PV (M)141.48149.72158.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,192.733,378.533,572.88
Equity Value (M)3,796.704,005.254,223.08
Shares Outstanding (M)71.5071.5071.50
Fair Value$53.10$56.02$59.06
Upside / Downside-35.51%-31.97%-28.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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