Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Holly Energy Partners, L.P. (HEP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.11 - $34.29$27.02
Multi-Stage$27.34 - $29.86$28.57
Blended Fair Value$27.80
Current Price$21.96
Upside26.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-6.24%-7.82%1.341.181.382.162.101.864.041.831.221.10
YoY Growth--13.76%-14.34%-36.15%3.11%12.96%-54.08%121.06%49.39%10.89%-63.65%
Dividend Yield--7.74%6.68%7.22%15.40%7.72%6.73%11.31%5.40%3.89%3.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)239.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)177.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.8529.9117.94
Cash Retained (M)62.0062.0062.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.85-29.91-17.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.1532.1044.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.44126.44126.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.250.35
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.250.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.511.661.75
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$21.11$27.02$34.29
Upside / Downside-3.86%23.05%56.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)239.26245.95252.84259.92267.19274.67282.91
Payout Ratio74.08%77.27%80.45%83.63%86.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)177.25190.04203.41217.38231.97247.20261.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)172.50174.20175.89
Year 2 PV (M)167.59170.90174.24
Year 3 PV (M)162.57167.40172.34
Year 4 PV (M)157.46163.74170.21
Year 5 PV (M)152.32159.94167.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,644.192,776.642,914.34
Equity Value (M)3,456.623,612.823,774.89
Shares Outstanding (M)126.44126.44126.44
Fair Value$27.34$28.57$29.86
Upside / Downside24.49%30.12%35.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 29 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SUSuncor Energy Inc.5.07%$2.3153.29%
023410.KQEugene Corporation5.06%$183.4563.50%
7537.TMarubun Corporation5.06%$65.8855.36%
GLJ.DEGrenke AG5.06%$0.7954.91%
KZOS.MEKazan Public Joint Stock Company Organichesky sintez5.06%$3.3620.60%
LTLS.JKPT Lautan Luas Tbk5.06%$43.7440.34%
MDS-UN.TOHealthcare Special Opportunities Fund5.06%$0.5664.99%
PUUILO.HEPuuilo Oyj5.06%$0.6382.63%
VCI.VVitreous Glass Inc.5.06%$0.3791.09%
051600.KSKEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co.,Ltd.5.05%$2,469.0084.53%
BLXBanco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A.5.05%$2.2137.06%
TLI.BKThai Life Insurance Public Company Limited5.05%$0.5047.29%
031330.KQSAMT Co., Ltd.5.04%$200.0045.01%
DCR.WADecora S.A.5.04%$3.7855.77%
PST.MIPoste Italiane S.p.A.5.04%$1.0965.05%
RDX.AXRedox Limited5.04%$0.1554.66%
UPOIC.BKUnited Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited5.04%$0.3361.35%
WKL.ASWolters Kluwer N.V.5.04%$4.4348.01%
000600.SZJointo Energy Investment Co., Ltd. Hebei5.03%$0.4345.84%
0QNN.LBurckhardt Compression Holding AG5.03%$27.4847.49%
002233.SZGuangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd.5.02%$0.4570.96%
9308.TInui Global Logistics Co., Ltd.5.02%$68.9239.29%
FFI.AXFFI Holdings Limited5.02%$0.2431.68%
SJWD.BKSCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited5.02%$0.3762.75%
007590.KSDONGBANG AGRO Corporation5.01%$300.1154.47%
0151.HKWant Want China Holdings Limited5.01%$0.2363.82%
2971.TEscon Japan REIT Investment Corporation5.01%$6,447.9060.16%
BBL-R.BKBangkok Bank Public Company Limited5.01%$8.5034.27%
DIC.AEDubai Investments PJSC5.01%$0.1858.95%
006390.KSHanil Hyundai Cement Co., Ltd5.00%$900.0433.14%
600998.SSJointown Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd5.00%$0.2646.36%
7020.SREtihad Etisalat Company5.00%$3.3172.99%
KA8.DEKlassik Radio AG5.00%$0.1595.39%
ORDS.QAOoredoo Q.P.S.C.4.99%$0.6557.81%
002616.SZGuangdong Chant Group Inc.4.98%$0.2771.11%
039130.KSHanatour Service Inc.4.98%$2,419.0255.18%
1264.TWOTehmag Foods Corporation4.98%$13.9967.27%
1295.KLPublic Bank Berhad4.98%$0.2260.48%
AW-UN.TOA&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund4.98%$1.8492.91%
WPK.TOWinpak Ltd.4.98%$2.2699.45%
000776.SZGF Securities Co., Ltd.4.97%$1.0960.30%
5236.KLMatrix Concepts Holdings Berhad4.97%$0.0756.54%
601298.SSQingdao Port International Co., Ltd.4.97%$0.4149.05%
7133.KLUnited U-LI Corporation Berhad4.97%$0.0846.08%
9925.TWTaiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd.4.97%$2.0281.40%
034590.KSIncheon City Gas Co., Ltd.4.96%$1,251.1528.53%
0QP4.ILGeorg Fischer AG4.96%$2.6644.86%
4163.SRAl-Dawaa Medical Services Company4.96%$2.5157.67%
9163.TNareru Group Inc.4.96%$114.0343.61%
CPFE3.SACPFL Energia S.A.4.96%$2.6656.33%