Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2,403.85 - $3,642.92 | $2,986.76 |
| Multi-Stage | $5,021.73 - $5,520.32 | $5,266.16 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,126.46 | |
| Current Price | $1,695.00 | |
| Upside | 143.45% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 34.85% | 0.00% | 123.55 | 114.24 | 93.31 | 43.70 | 55.38 | 27.70 | 23.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 8.15% | 22.43% | 113.52% | -21.09% | 99.88% | 16.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.29% | 5.34% | 7.35% | 3.92% | 5.57% | 4.50% | 2.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 6,961,315.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 3,965,061.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,996,254.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,392,263.00 | 870,164.38 | 522,098.63 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,996,254.00 | 2,996,254.00 | 2,996,254.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,392,263.00 | -870,164.38 | -522,098.63 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,603,991.00 | 2,126,089.63 | 2,474,155.38 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 25,139.51 | 25,139.51 | 25,139.51 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 63.80 | 84.57 | 98.42 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 157.72 | 157.72 | 157.72 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 63.80 | 84.57 | 98.42 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 221.53 | 242.29 | 256.14 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $2,403.85 | $2,986.76 | $3,642.92 |
| Upside / Downside | 41.82% | 76.21% | 114.92% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 6,961,315.00 | 6,891,701.85 | 6,822,784.83 | 6,754,556.98 | 6,687,011.41 | 6,620,141.30 | 6,818,745.54 |
| Payout Ratio | 56.96% | 63.57% | 70.18% | 76.78% | 83.39% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 3,965,061.00 | 4,380,834.65 | 4,787,896.31 | 5,186,378.66 | 5,576,412.57 | 5,958,127.17 | 6,307,339.62 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 4,051,702.34 | 4,093,046.24 | 4,134,390.15 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 4,095,491.98 | 4,179,499.88 | 4,264,360.66 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 4,103,044.58 | 4,229,934.02 | 4,359,412.94 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 4,080,163.66 | 4,249,267.38 | 4,423,573.84 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 4,031,931.32 | 4,241,883.34 | 4,460,491.82 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 105,881,513.52 | 111,395,009.59 | 117,135,830.81 |
| Equity Value (M) | 126,243,847.41 | 132,388,640.45 | 138,778,060.22 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 25,139.51 | 25,139.51 | 25,139.51 |
| Fair Value | $5,021.73 | $5,266.16 | $5,520.32 |
| Upside / Downside | 196.27% | 210.69% | 225.68% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU | Suncor Energy Inc. | 5.07% | $2.31 | 53.29% |
| 023410.KQ | Eugene Corporation | 5.06% | $183.45 | 63.50% |
| 7537.T | Marubun Corporation | 5.06% | $65.88 | 55.36% |
| GLJ.DE | Grenke AG | 5.06% | $0.79 | 54.91% |
| KZOS.ME | Kazan Public Joint Stock Company Organichesky sintez | 5.06% | $3.36 | 20.60% |
| LTLS.JK | PT Lautan Luas Tbk | 5.06% | $43.74 | 40.34% |
| MDS-UN.TO | Healthcare Special Opportunities Fund | 5.06% | $0.56 | 64.99% |
| PUUILO.HE | Puuilo Oyj | 5.06% | $0.63 | 82.63% |
| VCI.V | Vitreous Glass Inc. | 5.06% | $0.37 | 91.09% |
| 051600.KS | KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co.,Ltd. | 5.05% | $2,469.00 | 84.53% |
| BLX | Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. | 5.05% | $2.21 | 37.06% |
| TLI.BK | Thai Life Insurance Public Company Limited | 5.05% | $0.50 | 47.29% |
| 031330.KQ | SAMT Co., Ltd. | 5.04% | $200.00 | 45.01% |
| DCR.WA | Decora S.A. | 5.04% | $3.78 | 55.77% |
| PST.MI | Poste Italiane S.p.A. | 5.04% | $1.09 | 65.05% |
| RDX.AX | Redox Limited | 5.04% | $0.15 | 54.66% |
| UPOIC.BK | United Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited | 5.04% | $0.33 | 61.35% |
| WKL.AS | Wolters Kluwer N.V. | 5.04% | $4.43 | 48.01% |
| 000600.SZ | Jointo Energy Investment Co., Ltd. Hebei | 5.03% | $0.43 | 45.84% |
| 0QNN.L | Burckhardt Compression Holding AG | 5.03% | $27.48 | 47.49% |
| 002233.SZ | Guangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd. | 5.02% | $0.45 | 70.96% |
| 9308.T | Inui Global Logistics Co., Ltd. | 5.02% | $68.92 | 39.29% |
| FFI.AX | FFI Holdings Limited | 5.02% | $0.24 | 31.68% |
| SJWD.BK | SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited | 5.02% | $0.37 | 62.75% |
| 007590.KS | DONGBANG AGRO Corporation | 5.01% | $300.11 | 54.47% |
| 0151.HK | Want Want China Holdings Limited | 5.01% | $0.23 | 63.82% |
| 2971.T | Escon Japan REIT Investment Corporation | 5.01% | $6,447.90 | 60.16% |
| BBL-R.BK | Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited | 5.01% | $8.50 | 34.27% |
| DIC.AE | Dubai Investments PJSC | 5.01% | $0.18 | 58.95% |
| 006390.KS | Hanil Hyundai Cement Co., Ltd | 5.00% | $900.04 | 33.14% |
| 600998.SS | Jointown Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd | 5.00% | $0.26 | 46.36% |
| 7020.SR | Etihad Etisalat Company | 5.00% | $3.31 | 72.99% |
| KA8.DE | Klassik Radio AG | 5.00% | $0.15 | 95.39% |
| ORDS.QA | Ooredoo Q.P.S.C. | 4.99% | $0.65 | 57.81% |
| 002616.SZ | Guangdong Chant Group Inc. | 4.98% | $0.27 | 71.11% |
| 039130.KS | Hanatour Service Inc. | 4.98% | $2,419.02 | 55.18% |
| 1264.TWO | Tehmag Foods Corporation | 4.98% | $13.99 | 67.27% |
| 1295.KL | Public Bank Berhad | 4.98% | $0.22 | 60.48% |
| AW-UN.TO | A&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund | 4.98% | $1.84 | 92.91% |
| WPK.TO | Winpak Ltd. | 4.98% | $2.26 | 99.45% |
| 000776.SZ | GF Securities Co., Ltd. | 4.97% | $1.09 | 60.30% |
| 5236.KL | Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad | 4.97% | $0.07 | 56.54% |
| 601298.SS | Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. | 4.97% | $0.41 | 49.05% |
| 7133.KL | United U-LI Corporation Berhad | 4.97% | $0.08 | 46.08% |
| 9925.TW | Taiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd. | 4.97% | $2.02 | 81.40% |
| 034590.KS | Incheon City Gas Co., Ltd. | 4.96% | $1,251.15 | 28.53% |
| 0QP4.IL | Georg Fischer AG | 4.96% | $2.66 | 44.86% |
| 4163.SR | Al-Dawaa Medical Services Company | 4.96% | $2.51 | 57.67% |
| 9163.T | Nareru Group Inc. | 4.96% | $114.03 | 43.61% |
| CPFE3.SA | CPFL Energia S.A. | 4.96% | $2.66 | 56.33% |