Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

China Railway Group Limited (601390.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.80 - $208.42$120.20
Multi-Stage$30.73 - $33.65$32.16
Blended Fair Value$76.18
Current Price$5.51
Upside1,282.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.61%5.56%0.930.990.890.190.180.120.140.450.470.52
YoY Growth---5.29%11.17%370.68%6.51%42.01%-11.12%-68.63%-5.54%-8.92%-4.42%
Dividend Yield--16.89%13.71%12.89%3.12%2.99%2.32%1.90%6.06%5.36%6.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,807.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,483.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,323.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,961.443,100.901,860.54
Cash Retained (M)12,323.6712,323.6712,323.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,961.44-3,100.90-1,860.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,362.239,222.7710,463.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23,474.2323,474.2323,474.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.390.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.390.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.920.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.61%5.61%6.61%
Fair Value$48.80$120.20$208.42
Upside / Downside785.59%2,081.57%3,682.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,807.1926,198.1127,667.0129,218.2830,856.5232,586.6233,564.22
Payout Ratio50.32%58.26%66.19%74.13%82.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,483.5215,262.4318,313.7121,659.1825,322.2329,327.9631,046.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate4.61%5.61%6.61%
Year 1 PV (M)14,205.9814,341.7814,477.59
Year 2 PV (M)15,866.1516,170.9516,478.65
Year 3 PV (M)17,465.6517,971.3518,486.72
Year 4 PV (M)19,006.0719,743.3220,501.82
Year 5 PV (M)20,488.9621,487.2022,523.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)634,334.28665,239.44697,337.61
Equity Value (M)721,367.10754,954.04789,806.34
Shares Outstanding (M)23,474.2323,474.2323,474.23
Fair Value$30.73$32.16$33.65
Upside / Downside457.72%483.68%510.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 29 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SUSuncor Energy Inc.5.07%$2.3153.29%
023410.KQEugene Corporation5.06%$183.4563.50%
7537.TMarubun Corporation5.06%$65.8855.36%
GLJ.DEGrenke AG5.06%$0.7954.91%
KZOS.MEKazan Public Joint Stock Company Organichesky sintez5.06%$3.3620.60%
LTLS.JKPT Lautan Luas Tbk5.06%$43.7440.34%
MDS-UN.TOHealthcare Special Opportunities Fund5.06%$0.5664.99%
PUUILO.HEPuuilo Oyj5.06%$0.6382.63%
VCI.VVitreous Glass Inc.5.06%$0.3791.09%
051600.KSKEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co.,Ltd.5.05%$2,469.0084.53%
BLXBanco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A.5.05%$2.2137.06%
TLI.BKThai Life Insurance Public Company Limited5.05%$0.5047.29%
031330.KQSAMT Co., Ltd.5.04%$200.0045.01%
DCR.WADecora S.A.5.04%$3.7855.77%
PST.MIPoste Italiane S.p.A.5.04%$1.0965.05%
RDX.AXRedox Limited5.04%$0.1554.66%
UPOIC.BKUnited Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited5.04%$0.3361.35%
WKL.ASWolters Kluwer N.V.5.04%$4.4348.01%
000600.SZJointo Energy Investment Co., Ltd. Hebei5.03%$0.4345.84%
0QNN.LBurckhardt Compression Holding AG5.03%$27.4847.49%
002233.SZGuangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd.5.02%$0.4570.96%
9308.TInui Global Logistics Co., Ltd.5.02%$68.9239.29%
FFI.AXFFI Holdings Limited5.02%$0.2431.68%
SJWD.BKSCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited5.02%$0.3762.75%
007590.KSDONGBANG AGRO Corporation5.01%$300.1154.47%
0151.HKWant Want China Holdings Limited5.01%$0.2363.82%
2971.TEscon Japan REIT Investment Corporation5.01%$6,447.9060.16%
BBL-R.BKBangkok Bank Public Company Limited5.01%$8.5034.27%
DIC.AEDubai Investments PJSC5.01%$0.1858.95%
006390.KSHanil Hyundai Cement Co., Ltd5.00%$900.0433.14%
600998.SSJointown Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd5.00%$0.2646.36%
7020.SREtihad Etisalat Company5.00%$3.3172.99%
KA8.DEKlassik Radio AG5.00%$0.1595.39%
ORDS.QAOoredoo Q.P.S.C.4.99%$0.6557.81%
002616.SZGuangdong Chant Group Inc.4.98%$0.2771.11%
039130.KSHanatour Service Inc.4.98%$2,419.0255.18%
1264.TWOTehmag Foods Corporation4.98%$13.9967.27%
1295.KLPublic Bank Berhad4.98%$0.2260.48%
AW-UN.TOA&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund4.98%$1.8492.91%
WPK.TOWinpak Ltd.4.98%$2.2699.45%
000776.SZGF Securities Co., Ltd.4.97%$1.0960.30%
5236.KLMatrix Concepts Holdings Berhad4.97%$0.0756.54%
601298.SSQingdao Port International Co., Ltd.4.97%$0.4149.05%
7133.KLUnited U-LI Corporation Berhad4.97%$0.0846.08%
9925.TWTaiwan Shin Kong Security Co., Ltd.4.97%$2.0281.40%
034590.KSIncheon City Gas Co., Ltd.4.96%$1,251.1528.53%
0QP4.ILGeorg Fischer AG4.96%$2.6644.86%
4163.SRAl-Dawaa Medical Services Company4.96%$2.5157.67%
9163.TNareru Group Inc.4.96%$114.0343.61%
CPFE3.SACPFL Energia S.A.4.96%$2.6656.33%