Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tangshan Jidong Equipment and Engineering Co.,Ltd. (000856.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.41 - $0.57$0.49
Multi-Stage$0.84 - $0.92$0.88
Blended Fair Value$0.68
Current Price$10.77
Upside-93.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.60%-13.46%0.020.030.040.070.090.060.080.080.070.13
YoY Growth---14.09%-24.53%-50.09%-19.53%64.46%-29.95%2.93%8.75%-44.03%25.44%
Dividend Yield--0.22%0.34%0.42%0.72%1.15%0.53%0.42%0.37%0.53%1.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.752.341.41
Cash Retained (M)15.4015.4015.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.75-2.34-1.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.6513.0513.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)233.73233.73233.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate-6.16%-5.16%-4.16%
Fair Value$0.41$0.49$0.57
Upside / Downside-96.16%-95.45%-94.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.7417.7816.8615.9915.1714.3814.81
Payout Ratio17.85%32.28%46.71%61.14%75.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.345.747.879.7811.4612.9513.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate-6.16%-5.16%-4.16%
Year 1 PV (M)5.245.295.35
Year 2 PV (M)6.566.706.84
Year 3 PV (M)7.437.677.92
Year 4 PV (M)7.958.298.65
Year 5 PV (M)8.208.649.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)160.11168.82177.91
Equity Value (M)195.48205.42215.77
Shares Outstanding (M)233.73233.73233.73
Fair Value$0.84$0.88$0.92
Upside / Downside-92.23%-91.84%-91.43%

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