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SYN prop e tech S.A. (SYNE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.10 - $154.15$144.46
Multi-Stage$24.12 - $26.39$25.24
Blended Fair Value$84.85
Current Price$5.17
Upside1,541.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%28.67%2.880.000.528.190.880.000.792.260.040.15
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-93.60%825.93%0.00%-100.00%-65.22%6,132.86%-76.21%-34.21%
Dividend Yield--59.46%0.00%12.66%78.47%9.65%0.00%5.99%12.94%0.27%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.6514.788.87
Cash Retained (M)48.2648.2648.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.65-14.78-8.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.6033.4739.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.58152.58152.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.220.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.220.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$77.10$144.46$154.15
Upside / Downside1,391.36%2,694.23%2,881.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.27125.96134.14142.86152.15162.04166.90
Payout Ratio59.20%65.36%71.52%77.68%83.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.0182.3295.94110.98127.56145.83154.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)76.6877.4178.14
Year 2 PV (M)83.2484.8386.43
Year 3 PV (M)89.6992.2694.89
Year 4 PV (M)96.0399.72103.52
Year 5 PV (M)102.26107.20112.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,233.033,389.193,551.32
Equity Value (M)3,680.943,850.614,026.63
Shares Outstanding (M)152.58152.58152.58
Fair Value$24.12$25.24$26.39
Upside / Downside366.62%388.13%410.44%

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