Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

LiveChat Software S.A. (LVC.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$158.63 - $400.45$238.83
Multi-Stage$109.71 - $119.88$114.71
Blended Fair Value$176.77
Current Price$128.80
Upside37.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS20.60%0.00%4.723.942.772.011.871.851.080.710.370.23
YoY Growth--19.80%42.24%37.81%7.49%1.08%71.30%52.11%91.89%58.79%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.66%4.00%2.01%3.16%5.88%5.66%1.83%1.51%1.31%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)181.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)143.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.3022.6913.61
Cash Retained (M)143.92143.92143.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.30-22.69-13.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)107.61121.23130.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.184.715.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.461.461.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.184.715.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.646.176.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$158.63$238.83$400.45
Upside / Downside23.16%85.43%210.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)181.51193.31205.88219.26233.51248.69256.15
Payout Ratio20.71%34.57%48.43%62.29%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.6066.8399.70136.56177.80223.82236.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60.5961.1761.74
Year 2 PV (M)81.9783.5385.11
Year 3 PV (M)101.81104.73107.71
Year 4 PV (M)120.19124.81129.56
Year 5 PV (M)137.18143.81150.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,323.412,435.632,552.14
Equity Value (M)2,825.142,953.673,086.95
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
Fair Value$109.71$114.71$119.88
Upside / Downside-14.82%-10.94%-6.92%

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