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PJSC Krasnoyarskenergosbyt (KRSB.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$531.72 - $976.15$914.80
Multi-Stage$158.35 - $173.11$165.59
Blended Fair Value$540.20
Current Price$16.46
Upside3,181.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.91%140.98%1.541.310.980.750.700.530.590.510.890.32
YoY Growth--17.47%33.73%30.80%6.69%33.26%-10.27%14.32%-42.16%179.37%136,282.47%
Dividend Yield--9.33%6.70%9.37%9.38%7.45%9.97%14.45%12.73%22.92%10.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,246.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,680.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)649.29405.81243.48
Cash Retained (M)566.39566.39566.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-649.29-405.81-243.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-82.90160.58322.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)661.41661.41661.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.130.240.49
LTM Dividend per Share4.054.054.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.130.240.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.934.294.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$531.72$914.80$976.15
Upside / Downside3,130.35%5,457.70%5,830.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,246.473,457.493,682.223,921.574,176.474,447.944,581.38
Payout Ratio82.55%84.04%85.53%87.02%88.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,680.082,905.773,149.493,412.603,696.624,003.154,237.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,708.422,734.092,759.77
Year 2 PV (M)2,736.212,788.332,840.94
Year 3 PV (M)2,763.442,842.772,923.61
Year 4 PV (M)2,790.132,897.433,007.80
Year 5 PV (M)2,816.282,952.313,093.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)90,919.3495,310.7899,870.29
Equity Value (M)104,733.83109,525.72114,495.94
Shares Outstanding (M)661.41661.41661.41
Fair Value$158.35$165.59$173.11
Upside / Downside862.02%906.03%951.69%

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