Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $5,167.27 - $7,823.67 | $6,417.79 |
| Multi-Stage | $12,692.82 - $13,985.27 | $13,326.23 |
| Blended Fair Value | $9,872.01 | |
| Current Price | $6,525.00 | |
| Upside | 51.30% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -31.36% | -21.13% | 92.15 | 163.96 | 519.80 | 552.47 | 794.40 | 604.71 | 769.64 | 1,021.42 | 456.30 | 1,484.30 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -43.80% | -68.46% | -5.91% | -30.45% | 31.37% | -21.43% | -24.65% | 123.85% | -69.26% | 50.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.77% | 1.84% | 4.94% | 5.13% | 6.50% | 4.84% | 3.47% | 6.38% | 2.75% | 7.52% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,015,120.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 867,318.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,147,802.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 403,024.00 | 251,890.00 | 151,134.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,147,802.00 | 1,147,802.00 | 1,147,802.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -403,024.00 | -251,890.00 | -151,134.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 744,778.00 | 895,912.00 | 996,668.00 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 222.52 | 267.67 | 297.77 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 259.13 | 259.13 | 259.13 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 222.52 | 267.67 | 297.77 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 481.65 | 526.80 | 556.90 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | -2.75% | -1.75% | -0.75% |
| Fair Value | $5,167.27 | $6,417.79 | $7,823.67 |
| Upside / Downside | -20.81% | -1.64% | 19.90% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,015,120.00 | 1,979,883.15 | 1,945,262.46 | 1,911,247.15 | 1,877,826.65 | 1,844,990.54 | 1,900,340.26 |
| Payout Ratio | 43.04% | 52.43% | 61.82% | 71.22% | 80.61% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 867,318.00 | 1,038,100.47 | 1,202,645.06 | 1,361,117.70 | 1,513,680.43 | 1,660,491.49 | 1,757,814.74 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | -2.75% | -1.75% | -0.75% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 966,488.67 | 976,426.72 | 986,364.76 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,042,442.79 | 1,063,991.12 | 1,085,759.89 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,098,418.45 | 1,132,651.96 | 1,167,589.46 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,137,270.35 | 1,184,773.31 | 1,233,749.08 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,161,511.60 | 1,222,469.36 | 1,285,960.00 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 37,077,465.13 | 39,023,342.66 | 41,050,073.85 |
| Equity Value (M) | 42,483,596.99 | 44,603,655.13 | 46,809,497.03 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 | 3,347.06 |
| Fair Value | $12,692.82 | $13,326.23 | $13,985.27 |
| Upside / Downside | 94.53% | 104.23% | 114.33% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U96.SI | Sembcorp Industries Ltd | 5.19% | $0.32 | 29.05% |
| CIN.AX | Carlton Investments Limited | 5.18% | $1.79 | 61.04% |
| MERK.JK | PT Merck Tbk | 5.18% | $170.31 | 42.74% |
| 0QQ2.L | Geberit AG | 5.17% | $25.42 | 71.02% |
| 2640.TWO | Taiwan Taxi Co.,Ltd. | 5.17% | $7.01 | 77.56% |
| 603508.SS | Henan Thinker Automatic Equipment Co., Ltd. | 5.17% | $1.44 | 88.86% |
| RICHT.BD | Chemical Works | 5.17% | $509.83 | 41.05% |
| FPT.BK | Frasers Property (Thailand) Public Company Limited | 5.16% | $0.31 | 40.49% |
| YSON.F | Sonae, SGPS, S.A. | 5.16% | $0.09 | 60.40% |
| 0QS5.L | Bossard Holding AG | 5.15% | $7.90 | 44.91% |
| 2341.HK | EcoGreen International Group Limited | 5.15% | $0.10 | 9.70% |
| 4942.TW | Chia Chang Co., Ltd | 5.15% | $1.99 | 67.15% |
| 601555.SS | Soochow Securities Co., Ltd. | 5.15% | $0.47 | 66.76% |
| 601686.SS | Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co., Ltd. | 5.15% | $0.32 | 56.09% |
| 6979.HK | ZJLD Group Inc | 5.15% | $0.45 | 56.09% |
| 3118.TWO | Level Biotechnology Inc. | 5.14% | $1.70 | 80.08% |
| ALTOU.PA | Touax | 5.14% | $0.22 | 20.71% |
| BE8.BK | Beryl 8 Plus Public Company Limited | 5.14% | $0.24 | 75.69% |
| KEG-UN.TO | The Keg Royalties Income Fund | 5.14% | $0.96 | 84.63% |
| QEWS.QA | Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C. | 5.14% | $0.77 | 67.87% |
| 6805.HK | Kimou Environmental Holding Limited | 5.13% | $0.13 | 60.10% |
| 9521.SR | Inmar Company for Real Estate Development and Investment | 5.13% | $1.00 | 24.60% |
| MTI.BK | Muang Thai Insurance Public Company Limited | 5.13% | $0.80 | 45.07% |
| 3218.TWO | Universal Vision Biotechnology Co., Ltd. | 5.12% | $7.47 | 71.57% |
| 600694.SS | Dashang Co., Ltd. | 5.12% | $0.92 | 63.22% |
| 601877.SS | Zhejiang Chint Electrics Co., Ltd. | 5.12% | $1.43 | 67.03% |
| GL9.IR | Glanbia plc | 5.12% | $0.74 | 50.22% |
| STBP3.SA | Santos Brasil Participações S.A. | 5.12% | $0.74 | 78.31% |
| WSU.DE | WashTec AG | 5.12% | $2.40 | 92.47% |
| 0RUJ.L | Delta Plus Group | 5.11% | $2.48 | 29.42% |
| 2887.TW | TS Financial Holding Co., Ltd. | 5.11% | $1.04 | 93.64% |
| 3003.SR | City Cement Company | 5.11% | $0.65 | 66.06% |
| ALVU.PA | Vente-Unique.com S.A. | 5.11% | $0.79 | 45.95% |
| CAML3.SA | Camil Alimentos S.A. | 5.11% | $0.28 | 60.82% |
| RECT | Rectitude Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares | 5.11% | $0.09 | 26.70% |
| 603518.SS | Jinhong Fashion Group Co.,Ltd. | 5.10% | $0.49 | 66.21% |
| 6242.TWO | Li Kang Biomedical Co., Ltd. | 5.10% | $2.00 | 77.54% |
| ECMPA.AS | Eurocommercial Properties N.V. | 5.10% | $1.33 | 55.30% |
| NOMD | Nomad Foods Limited | 5.09% | $0.62 | 46.03% |
| 2249.TWO | Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. | 5.08% | $4.71 | 21.31% |
| ARZZ3.SA | Arezzo Indústria e Comércio S.A. | 5.08% | $2.67 | 67.63% |
| CMAN.BK | Chememan Public Company Limited | 5.08% | $0.12 | 31.80% |
| LST.BK | Lam Soon (Thailand) Public Company Limited | 5.08% | $0.24 | 36.51% |
| VEI.OL | Veidekke ASA | 5.08% | $8.90 | 90.00% |
| 013570.KS | DY Corporation | 5.07% | $230.54 | 20.72% |
| 086790.KS | Hana Financial Group Inc. | 5.07% | $4,736.72 | 33.98% |
| 129260.KS | Intergis Co., Ltd | 5.07% | $121.38 | 22.66% |
| CUP-U.TO | Caribbean Utilities Company, Ltd. | 5.07% | $0.69 | 64.16% |
| MMAQ3.SA | Minasmaquinas S.A. | 5.07% | $129.21 | 12.04% |
| QATI.QA | Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C. | 5.07% | $0.10 | 45.46% |