Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.48 - $147.07$110.47
Multi-Stage$87.99 - $96.31$92.07
Blended Fair Value$101.27
Current Price$122.59
Upside-17.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.66%5.06%1.481.461.551.421.271.231.131.091.050.98
YoY Growth--1.02%-5.51%9.21%11.91%2.57%8.74%4.22%3.70%6.97%8.86%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.23%1.40%1.37%1.18%1.85%1.46%1.72%1.86%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)845.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)639.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)169.10105.6963.41
Cash Retained (M)639.92639.92639.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-169.10-105.69-63.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)470.81534.23576.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.19138.19138.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.413.874.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.491.491.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.413.874.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.895.355.66
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Fair Value$83.48$110.47$147.07
Upside / Downside-31.90%-9.89%19.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)845.50879.79915.47952.59991.221,031.421,062.36
Payout Ratio24.32%37.45%50.59%63.73%76.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.59329.50463.13607.05761.89928.28982.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)299.12302.02304.93
Year 2 PV (M)381.66389.11396.62
Year 3 PV (M)454.14467.49481.10
Year 4 PV (M)517.42537.80558.78
Year 5 PV (M)572.30600.61630.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,935.1410,426.6110,937.35
Equity Value (M)12,159.7912,723.6513,308.81
Shares Outstanding (M)138.19138.19138.19
Fair Value$87.99$92.07$96.31
Upside / Downside-28.22%-24.89%-21.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 27 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
138930.KSBNK Financial Group Inc.5.33%$837.7733.77%
RPI-UN.TORichards Packaging Income Fund5.33%$1.6282.84%
8956.TNTT UD REIT Investment Corporation5.32%$7,471.7960.60%
ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.5.32%$4.9945.85%
BTTBlackrock Municipal 2030 Target Term Trust5.32%$1.2174.76%
PREV-B.STPrevas AB5.31%$5.0990.29%
000690.SZGuangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd.5.30%$0.2251.75%
005830.KSDB Insurance Co., Ltd.5.29%$6,766.2625.66%
1157.HKZoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.5.29%$0.4189.60%
6884.TWOHighpoint Service Network Corporation5.29%$2.0256.70%
7237.KLPower Root Berhad5.29%$0.0798.68%
MCKPA.NZMillennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand Limited5.29%$0.0957.34%
MFCManulife Financial Corporation5.29%$1.9255.22%
CLSC3.SACentrais Elétricas de Santa Catarina S.A.5.28%$6.1235.64%
000899.SZJiangxi Ganneng Co., Ltd.5.27%$0.5253.85%
0QQN.LBucher Industries AG5.27%$19.4043.82%
601107.SSSichuan Expressway Company Limited5.27%$0.3299.95%
CRAP.PACaisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Alpes Provence Société coopérative5.27%$6.9619.09%
0IW5.LThales S.A.5.26%$7.0970.33%
AIRARABIA.AEAir Arabia PJSC5.26%$0.2575.35%
PHOR.MEPublic Joint-Stock Company PhosAgro5.26%$335.1737.65%
RBREW.CORoyal Unibrew A/S5.26%$29.5094.31%
TCELL.ISTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.5.26%$5.0570.22%
TLC.AXThe Lottery Corporation Limited5.26%$0.2778.26%
TTA-R.BKThoresen Thai Agencies Public Company Limited5.26%$0.2217.40%
4712.TKeyHolder, Inc.5.25%$37.1432.06%
8926.TWTaiwan Cogeneration Corporation5.25%$2.1587.97%
RJH.BKRajthanee Hospital Public Company Limited5.25%$0.6575.57%
016090.KSDaehyun Co.,Ltd.5.24%$87.5664.98%
ALGEV.PAGévelot S.A.5.24%$9.2742.01%
1209.HKChina Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited5.23%$2.2571.56%
HTECH.BKHalcyon Technology Public Company Limited5.23%$0.1538.21%
002911.SZForan Energy Group Co.,Ltd.5.22%$0.6390.85%
000913.SZZhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Co., Ltd.5.21%$0.8077.77%
4915.TWPrimax Electronics Ltd.5.21%$3.9968.04%
601000.SSTangShan Port Group Co.,Ltd5.21%$0.2066.38%
CAFO.PACentrale d'Achat Française pour l'Outre-Mer S.A.5.21%$0.4416.81%
KBLI.JKPT KMI Wire and Cable Tbk5.21%$16.9931.01%
0QOH.Lnaturenergie holding AG5.20%$1.6927.11%
600551.SSTime Publishing and Media Co., Ltd.5.20%$0.4268.97%
8979.TStarts Proceed Investment Corporation5.20%$10,484.9163.22%
AMIN.JKPT Ateliers Mecaniques D'Indonesie Tbk5.20%$13.0170.06%
EBO.AXEBOS Group Limited5.20%$1.2245.78%
SMCB.JKPT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk5.20%$40.2745.56%
5159.KLYoong Onn Corporation Berhad5.19%$0.0858.97%
603355.SSKingclean Electric Co.,Ltd5.19%$1.6597.04%
603855.SSWarom Technology Incorporated Company5.19%$1.0077.28%
8034.TWOOPNET Technologies Co., Ltd.5.19%$1.3498.92%
ALRFG.PARacing Force S.p.A.5.19%$0.2671.02%
DEME.BRDEME Group N.V.5.19%$7.4131.20%