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Strawberry Fields REIT LLC (STRW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Healthcare FacilitiesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.33 - $6.23$5.26
Multi-Stage$7.43 - $8.14$7.78
Blended Fair Value$6.52
Current Price$12.30
Upside-47.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.350.250.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--40.49%350.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.96%3.15%0.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.400.880.53
Cash Retained (M)2.052.052.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.40-0.88-0.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.651.181.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4611.4611.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.33$5.26$6.23
Upside / Downside-64.81%-57.26%-49.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.026.956.886.826.756.686.88
Payout Ratio70.76%74.61%78.45%82.30%86.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.975.195.405.615.816.016.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.714.764.80
Year 2 PV (M)4.454.544.63
Year 3 PV (M)4.194.324.45
Year 4 PV (M)3.944.104.27
Year 5 PV (M)3.703.894.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)64.1867.5371.01
Equity Value (M)85.1689.1393.25
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4611.4611.46
Fair Value$7.43$7.78$8.14
Upside / Downside-39.60%-36.78%-33.86%

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