Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.47 - $112.10$87.18
Multi-Stage$79.84 - $87.37$83.54
Blended Fair Value$85.36
Current Price$92.37
Upside-7.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.21%3.72%2.072.011.931.841.791.681.621.571.521.48
YoY Growth--2.52%4.37%4.73%3.10%6.37%4.00%2.90%3.02%3.14%3.14%
Dividend Yield--2.24%3.32%3.85%2.91%2.80%4.09%3.47%3.07%2.78%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)518.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)188.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)330.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.7064.8138.89
Cash Retained (M)330.07330.07330.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.70-64.81-38.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)226.37265.25291.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)91.2491.2491.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.482.913.19
LTM Dividend per Share2.072.072.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.482.913.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.554.975.26
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.21%3.21%4.21%
Fair Value$67.47$87.18$112.10
Upside / Downside-26.95%-5.62%21.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)518.50535.15552.33570.07588.37607.26625.48
Payout Ratio36.34%47.07%57.81%68.54%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)188.44251.92319.28390.71466.39546.54578.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.21%3.21%4.21%
Year 1 PV (M)228.67230.91233.15
Year 2 PV (M)263.08268.25273.47
Year 3 PV (M)292.23300.89309.72
Year 4 PV (M)316.65329.22342.17
Year 5 PV (M)336.82353.62371.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,847.156,138.836,442.04
Equity Value (M)7,284.587,621.727,971.63
Shares Outstanding (M)91.2491.2491.24
Fair Value$79.84$83.54$87.37
Upside / Downside-13.56%-9.56%-5.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 26 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
600036.SSChina Merchants Bank Co., Ltd.5.46%$2.3039.04%
7296.TF.C.C. Co., Ltd.5.46%$202.4061.47%
BPF-UN.TOBoston Pizza Royalties Income Fund5.46%$1.2581.66%
SONDA.SNSonda S.A.5.46%$18.7857.64%
0062.HKTransport International Holdings Limited5.45%$0.5845.75%
AGN.ASAegon N.V.5.45%$0.3645.01%
CGCBV.HECargotec Corporation5.45%$2.1313.30%
LEVE3.SAMAHLE Metal Leve S.A.5.45%$1.8342.42%
RATCH-R.BKRatch Group Public Company Limited5.45%$1.6162.39%
071320.KSKorea District Heating Corp.5.44%$5,144.2919.59%
3051.TWOptimax Technology Corporation5.44%$1.0172.99%
LSIP.JKPT Perusahaan Perkebunan London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk5.44%$64.9923.07%
4580.TWOValue Valves Co., Ltd.5.43%$4.4379.29%
BNBR3.SABanco do Nordeste do Brasil S.A.5.43%$5.9820.89%
1866.HKChina XLX Fertiliser Ltd.5.42%$0.5022.65%
4207.TWOTaiwan Fructose Co., Ltd.5.42%$1.0061.33%
8955.TJapan Prime Realty Investment Corporation5.42%$5,726.8966.85%
8TRA.DETraton SE5.42%$1.7047.75%
AMATA.BKAmata Corporation Public Company Limited5.42%$0.9033.06%
CRECCrescera Capital Acquisition Corp.5.42%$0.5940.15%
9907.TWTon Yi Industrial Corp.5.41%$0.9770.39%
004970.KSSilla Co.,Ltd5.40%$499.3456.25%
JDE.DEJDE Peet's N.V.5.40%$1.7274.35%
0QU6.LHIAG Immobilien Holding AG5.39%$6.3944.68%
3022.TWIEI Integration Corp.5.39%$3.5169.75%
4105.TWOTTY Biopharm Company Limited5.39%$4.3568.65%
BNORDIK-CSE.COP/F BankNordik5.39%$8.3624.49%
003550.KSLG Corp.5.38%$4,358.8394.91%
2414.TWUnitech Computer Co., Ltd.5.38%$2.1971.08%
9627.SRTwareat Medical Care Co.5.38%$0.6671.63%
AMARC.BKAsia Medical and Agricultural Laboratory and Research Center Public Company Limited5.38%$0.1438.50%
MDNE3.SAMoura Dubeux Engenharia S.A.5.38%$1.2429.60%
001286.SZShaanxi Energy Investment5.37%$0.5064.09%
82020.HKANTA Sports-r5.37%$3.8940.14%
CCN.PACaisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine Société coopérative5.37%$7.0126.05%
ENGH.TOEnghouse Systems Limited5.37%$1.0879.39%
G07.SIGreat Eastern Holdings Limited5.37%$0.8240.54%
GEMA.JKPT Gema Grahasarana Tbk5.37%$5.1529.14%
HNK1.DEHeineken N.V.5.37%$3.7183.13%
SELER.PASelectirente5.37%$4.4033.09%
600750.SSJiang Zhong Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd5.36%$1.2493.11%
000883.SZHubei Energy Group Co., Ltd.5.35%$0.2493.11%
039570.KSHDC I-Controls Co., Ltd.5.35%$448.0048.81%
AB9.DEABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA5.35%$0.6511.20%
CUP.AXCount Limited5.35%$0.068.76%
RB.SWReckitt Benckiser Group plc5.35%$2.8967.01%
0411.HKLam Soon (Hong Kong) Limited5.34%$0.6027.98%
1342.TWCathay Consolidated, Inc.5.34%$4.7687.76%
9612.SRSama Healthy Water Factory Co.5.34%$0.1039.45%
000521.SZChanghong Meiling Co., Ltd.5.33%$0.3554.63%