Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qinghai Jinrui Mineral Development Co., Ltd (600714.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.61 - $7.53$5.09
Multi-Stage$2.78 - $3.03$2.90
Blended Fair Value$4.00
Current Price$11.82
Upside-66.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS110.96%0.13%0.100.000.100.000.000.000.000.020.040.09
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-98.68%0.00%-100.00%-53.99%-55.42%-10.27%
Dividend Yield--0.95%0.00%1.03%0.00%0.00%0.05%0.00%0.22%0.29%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.337.084.25
Cash Retained (M)26.6426.6426.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.33-7.08-4.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3119.5622.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)288.27288.27288.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.10%10.10%10.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.61$5.09$7.53
Upside / Downside-69.46%-56.91%-36.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.6660.3464.2668.4472.8977.6279.95
Payout Ratio52.98%60.38%67.79%75.19%82.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.0136.4343.5651.4660.2069.8673.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.10%10.10%10.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32.7833.0933.40
Year 2 PV (M)35.2735.9436.62
Year 3 PV (M)37.4938.5639.66
Year 4 PV (M)39.4640.9842.54
Year 5 PV (M)41.2043.1945.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)614.69644.38675.21
Equity Value (M)800.88836.14872.68
Shares Outstanding (M)288.27288.27288.27
Fair Value$2.78$2.90$3.03
Upside / Downside-76.50%-75.46%-74.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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