Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Vistra Corp. (VST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.11 - $144.75$94.91
Multi-Stage$48.26 - $52.68$50.43
Blended Fair Value$72.67
Current Price$195.92
Upside-62.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.65%0.00%0.900.920.890.850.780.720.000.002.920.00
YoY Growth---2.56%3.64%4.14%9.02%9.47%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.76%1.29%3.70%3.67%4.43%4.48%0.00%0.00%17.92%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,152.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)304.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)848.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230.40144.0086.40
Cash Retained (M)848.00848.00848.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-230.40-144.00-86.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)617.60704.00761.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)339.69339.69339.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.822.072.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.822.072.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.712.973.14
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$66.11$94.91$144.75
Upside / Downside-66.26%-51.56%-26.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,152.001,226.881,306.631,391.561,482.011,578.341,625.69
Payout Ratio26.39%39.11%51.83%64.56%77.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)304.00479.85677.27898.331,145.261,420.511,503.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)432.80436.90441.00
Year 2 PV (M)550.97561.46572.06
Year 3 PV (M)659.15678.07697.35
Year 4 PV (M)757.95787.09817.07
Year 5 PV (M)847.93888.88931.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,142.9813,777.7914,436.89
Equity Value (M)16,391.7717,130.2017,895.79
Shares Outstanding (M)339.69339.69339.69
Fair Value$48.26$50.43$52.68
Upside / Downside-75.37%-74.26%-73.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 24 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc.0.99%$1.5024.32%
LISOXLazard International Strategic Equity Ptf Open Shares0.99%$0.1336.87%
MXCMexco Energy Corporation0.99%$0.1012.25%
NICNicolet Bankshares, Inc.0.99%$1.1912.58%
PAYCPaycom Software, Inc.0.99%$1.5118.80%
RRCRange Resources Corporation0.99%$0.3514.60%
WLFCWillis Lease Finance Corporation0.99%$1.327.58%
WORWorthington Industries, Inc.0.99%$0.5223.95%
CNXNPC Connection, Inc.0.98%$0.5616.89%
CATCaterpillar Inc.0.97%$5.7829.40%
CNKCinemark Holdings, Inc.0.97%$0.2318.28%
ECLEcolab Inc.0.97%$2.5436.57%
EVREvercore Inc.0.97%$3.4127.02%
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp, Inc.0.96%$0.1424.34%
0ITL.LArthur J. Gallagher & Co.0.95%$2.4239.43%
0IZI.LW.W. Grainger, Inc.0.95%$9.5226.47%
0L5V.LThe Sherwin-Williams Company0.95%$3.1130.09%
0R2S.LStryker Corporation0.95%$3.2843.09%
RRXRegal Rexnord Corporation0.95%$1.3936.07%
WTWisdomTree, Inc.0.95%$0.1218.12%
JJacobs Solutions Inc.0.94%$1.2753.80%
ORCLOracle Corporation0.94%$1.8434.81%
TCBSTexas Community Bancshares, Inc.0.94%$0.1719.22%
IMKTAIngles Markets, Incorporated0.93%$0.6514.68%
ODCOil-Dri Corporation of America0.93%$0.4512.28%
PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.0.93%$0.1940.17%
SSBKSouthern States Bancshares, Inc.0.93%$0.349.19%
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.0.92%$0.638.94%
HIFSHingham Institution for Savings0.92%$2.4912.15%
RLRalph Lauren Corporation0.92%$3.3424.37%
OPYOppenheimer Holdings Inc.0.91%$0.668.90%
BGCBGC Group, Inc0.90%$0.0823.56%
CDRECadre Holdings, Inc.0.90%$0.3733.35%
MBNKPMedallion Bank0.90%$0.2312.50%
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.0.89%$1.7530.14%
NYTThe New York Times Company0.89%$0.6230.32%
RMDResMed Inc.0.89%$2.1822.31%
VBFCVillage Bank and Trust Financial Corp.0.89%$0.7215.35%
0I14.LCognex Corporation0.88%$0.3249.16%
ARAntero Resources Corporation0.88%$0.3017.15%
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.0.88%$1.6114.88%
LMATLeMaitre Vascular, Inc.0.88%$0.7032.20%
NNINelnet, Inc.0.88%$1.149.52%
PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc.0.88%$1.1612.49%
SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc.0.88%$0.3211.76%
BYDBoyd Gaming Corporation0.87%$0.753.22%
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.0.87%$1.5924.85%
BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.0.86%$0.3115.02%
BCOThe Brink's Company0.86%$1.0024.81%
HXLHexcel Corporation0.86%$0.6677.18%