DDM Analysis: TSPC.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11,695.71 - $65,469.76	$22,307.40
Multi-Stage	$9,075.26 - $9,944.37	$9,501.73
Blended Fair Value	$15,904.57
Current Price	$2,370.00
Upside	571.08%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.42%	4.28%	88.16	128.38	64.77	65.60	40.74	32.06	31.81	39.32	39.10	49.67
YoY Growth	-	-	-31.33%	98.22%	-1.28%	61.03%	27.06%	0.80%	-19.10%	0.58%	-21.28%	-14.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.58%	6.72%	4.61%	4.45%	2.75%	3.32%	1.79%	2.42%	1.99%	2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,501,326.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	504,656.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	996,669.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	300,265.28	187,665.80	112,599.48
Cash Retained (M)	996,669.95	996,669.95	996,669.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-300,265.28	-187,665.80	-112,599.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	696,404.67	809,004.15	884,070.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,503.58	4,503.58	4,503.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	154.63	179.64	196.30
LTM Dividend per Share	112.06	112.06	112.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	154.63	179.64	196.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend	266.69	291.69	308.36
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	4.16%	5.16%	6.16%
Fair Value	$11,695.71	$22,307.40	$65,469.76
Upside / Downside	393.49%	841.24%	2,662.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,501,326.41	1,578,760.62	1,660,188.67	1,745,816.55	1,835,860.88	1,930,549.45	1,988,465.93
Payout Ratio	33.61%	44.89%	56.17%	67.45%	78.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	504,656.46	708,725.09	932,501.81	1,177,476.73	1,445,241.24	1,737,494.50	1,839,330.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	4.16%	5.16%	6.16%
Year 1 PV (M)	658,938.53	665,264.88	671,591.23
Year 2 PV (M)	806,090.63	821,643.20	837,344.38
Year 3 PV (M)	946,353.99	973,873.85	1,001,922.13
Year 4 PV (M)	1,079,962.62	1,122,037.86	1,165,330.72
Year 5 PV (M)	1,207,143.53	1,266,214.83	1,327,576.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	36,172,649.12	37,942,749.51	39,781,477.08
Equity Value (M)	40,871,138.42	42,791,784.13	44,785,241.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,503.58	4,503.58	4,503.58
Fair Value	$9,075.26	$9,501.73	$9,944.37
Upside / Downside	282.92%	300.92%	319.59%

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PT Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk (TSPC.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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